Flagstar Financial Stock Price Prediction

FLG Stock   13.04  0.09  0.69%   
As of 10th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Flagstar Financial's share price is at 55. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Flagstar Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Flagstar Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Flagstar Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Flagstar Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Flagstar Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Flagstar Financial's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.039
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.42)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6152
Wall Street Target Price
14.1912
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.07)
Using Flagstar Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flagstar Financial from the perspective of Flagstar Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flagstar Financial using Flagstar Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flagstar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flagstar Financial's stock price.

Flagstar Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Flagstar Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Flagstar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Flagstar Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
11.7799
Short Percent
0.2296
Short Ratio
11.56
Shares Short Prior Month
55.5 M
50 Day MA
12.076

Flagstar Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Flagstar Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flagstar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flagstar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flagstar Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Flagstar Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Flagstar Financial.

Flagstar Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Flagstar Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flagstar Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flagstar Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flagstar Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flagstar Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Flagstar Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Flagstar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Flagstar Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Flagstar contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Flagstar Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Flagstar Financial trading at USD 13.04, that is roughly USD 0.003341 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Flagstar Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Flagstar Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Flagstar Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Flagstar Stock please use our How to Invest in Flagstar Financial guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2913.3815.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3013.3915.48
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.9114.1915.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.140.04-0.1
Details

Flagstar Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Flagstar Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flagstar Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flagstar Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Flagstar Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Flagstar Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flagstar Financial's historical news coverage. Flagstar Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.95 and 15.13, respectively. We have considered Flagstar Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.04
13.04
After-hype Price
15.13
Upside
Flagstar Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flagstar Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Flagstar Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flagstar Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flagstar Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flagstar Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
2.09
 0.00  
  0.01 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.04
13.04
0.00 
10,450  
Notes

Flagstar Financial Hype Timeline

On the 10th of January Flagstar Financial is traded for 13.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Flagstar is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flagstar Financial is about 3870.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.03. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Flagstar Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.47. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.89. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. Flagstar Financial had 1:3 split on the 12th of July 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Flagstar Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Flagstar Stock please use our How to Invest in Flagstar Financial guide.

Flagstar Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Flagstar Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flagstar Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Flagstar Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flagstar Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GBCIGlacier Bancorp(0.70)10 per month 2.03 (0.04) 3.25 (2.84) 9.72 
IFSIntercorp Financial Services 0.06 8 per month 1.54  0.05  2.26 (2.88) 5.93 
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares 0.29 8 per month 1.92  0  3.79 (3.21) 10.06 
HWCHancock Whitney Corp(0.48)9 per month 1.95  0.02  2.96 (4.17) 10.60 
AXAxos Financial 0.18 12 per month 2.13  0.04  3.18 (2.62) 12.64 
ABCBAmeris Bancorp 0.22 7 per month 1.53  0.01  2.71 (1.87) 9.03 
AVALGrupo Aval 0.05 9 per month 1.46  0.14  2.79 (2.90) 9.17 
UBSIUnited Bankshares(0.24)9 per month 1.42  0.03  3.05 (3.19) 8.03 
OZKBank Ozk(0.45)10 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.96 (2.25) 9.90 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares 0.53 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.50 (2.57) 7.20 

Flagstar Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Flagstar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flagstar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flagstar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Flagstar Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Flagstar Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Flagstar Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Flagstar Financial based on analysis of Flagstar Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Flagstar Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Flagstar Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.06990.02940.02650.0436
Price To Sales Ratio1.230.470.540.51

Story Coverage note for Flagstar Financial

The number of cover stories for Flagstar Financial depends on current market conditions and Flagstar Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flagstar Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flagstar Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Flagstar Financial Short Properties

Flagstar Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flagstar Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flagstar Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flagstar Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flagstar Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding330.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.8 B

Complementary Tools for Flagstar Stock analysis

When running Flagstar Financial's price analysis, check to measure Flagstar Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flagstar Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Flagstar Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flagstar Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flagstar Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flagstar Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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