Dunedin Enterprise Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DNE Stock   475.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dunedin Enterprise Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 474.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 258.92. Dunedin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dunedin Enterprise stock prices and determine the direction of Dunedin Enterprise Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dunedin Enterprise's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Dunedin Enterprise's Common Stock Total Equity is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 41.7 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 29.5 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Dunedin Enterprise works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Dunedin Enterprise Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dunedin Enterprise Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 474.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.39, mean absolute percentage error of 68.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 258.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dunedin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dunedin Enterprise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dunedin Enterprise Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dunedin Enterprise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dunedin Enterprise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.3116
MADMean absolute deviation4.3885
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0092
SAESum of the absolute errors258.9234
When Dunedin Enterprise Investment prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Dunedin Enterprise Investment trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Dunedin Enterprise observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Dunedin Enterprise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunedin Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
473.16475.03476.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
474.64476.51478.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
446.14470.28494.41
Details

Dunedin Enterprise Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dunedin Enterprise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dunedin Enterprise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dunedin Enterprise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dunedin Enterprise Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dunedin Enterprise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dunedin Enterprise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dunedin Enterprise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dunedin Enterprise Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dunedin Enterprise Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dunedin Enterprise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dunedin Enterprise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dunedin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Dunedin Stock

Dunedin Enterprise financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunedin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunedin with respect to the benefits of owning Dunedin Enterprise security.