Dongfang ElectricLimited Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

DNGFF Stock  USD 1.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dongfang Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Dongfang Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dongfang ElectricLimited's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Dongfang ElectricLimited is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dongfang Electric value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dongfang ElectricLimited Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dongfang Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dongfang Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dongfang ElectricLimited's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dongfang ElectricLimited Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dongfang ElectricLimitedDongfang ElectricLimited Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dongfang ElectricLimited Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dongfang ElectricLimited's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dongfang ElectricLimited's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.10 and 1.10, respectively. We have considered Dongfang ElectricLimited's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.10
1.10
Expected Value
1.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dongfang ElectricLimited pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dongfang ElectricLimited pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria49.0662
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Dongfang Electric. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dongfang ElectricLimited. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dongfang ElectricLimited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongfang ElectricLimited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.101.101.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.101.101.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongfang ElectricLimited. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongfang ElectricLimited's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongfang ElectricLimited's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongfang ElectricLimited.

Other Forecasting Options for Dongfang ElectricLimited

For every potential investor in Dongfang, whether a beginner or expert, Dongfang ElectricLimited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dongfang Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dongfang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dongfang ElectricLimited's price trends.

Dongfang ElectricLimited Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dongfang ElectricLimited pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dongfang ElectricLimited could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dongfang ElectricLimited by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dongfang ElectricLimited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dongfang ElectricLimited's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dongfang ElectricLimited's current price.

Dongfang ElectricLimited Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dongfang ElectricLimited pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dongfang ElectricLimited shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dongfang ElectricLimited pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dongfang Electric entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Dongfang Pink Sheet

Dongfang ElectricLimited financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongfang Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongfang with respect to the benefits of owning Dongfang ElectricLimited security.