Duff Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

DPG Fund  USD 13.14  0.03  0.23%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Duff And Phelps on the next trading day is expected to be 13.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.23. Duff Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Duff's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Duff's share price is at 53 suggesting that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Duff, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Duff's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Duff and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Duff's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Duff And Phelps, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Duff hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duff And Phelps from the perspective of Duff response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Duff And Phelps on the next trading day is expected to be 13.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.23.

Duff after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duff to cross-verify your projections.

Duff Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Duff price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duff using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duff charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Duff is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Duff And Phelps value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Duff Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Duff And Phelps on the next trading day is expected to be 13.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Duff Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Duff's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Duff Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest DuffDuff Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Duff Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Duff's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Duff's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.32 and 13.80, respectively. We have considered Duff's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.14
13.06
Expected Value
13.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Duff fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Duff fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5603
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0858
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2336
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Duff And Phelps. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Duff. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Duff

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duff And Phelps. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4013.1413.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3213.0613.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.5112.8313.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Duff

For every potential investor in Duff, whether a beginner or expert, Duff's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Duff Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Duff. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Duff's price trends.

Duff Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Duff fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Duff could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Duff by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Duff And Phelps Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Duff's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Duff's current price.

Duff Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Duff fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Duff shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Duff fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Duff And Phelps entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Duff Risk Indicators

The analysis of Duff's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Duff's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting duff fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Duff Fund

Duff financial ratios help investors to determine whether Duff Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Duff with respect to the benefits of owning Duff security.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges