Dundee Precious Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

DPMLF Stock  USD 36.49  0.33  0.91%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dundee Precious Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 36.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.52. Dundee Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dundee Precious' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Dundee Precious' share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dundee Precious' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dundee Precious and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dundee Precious' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dundee Precious Metals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Dundee Precious hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dundee Precious Metals from the perspective of Dundee Precious response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dundee Precious Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 36.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.52.

Dundee Precious after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dundee Precious to cross-verify your projections.

Dundee Precious Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dundee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dundee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dundee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Dundee Precious - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Dundee Precious prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Dundee Precious price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Dundee Precious Metals.

Dundee Precious Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dundee Precious Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 36.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dundee Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dundee Precious' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dundee Precious Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dundee PreciousDundee Precious Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dundee Precious Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dundee Precious' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dundee Precious' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.27 and 38.88, respectively. We have considered Dundee Precious' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.49
36.58
Expected Value
38.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dundee Precious pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dundee Precious pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1028
MADMean absolute deviation0.5003
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0178
SAESum of the absolute errors29.5164
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Dundee Precious observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Dundee Precious Metals observations.

Predictive Modules for Dundee Precious

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dundee Precious Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.9936.3238.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.8138.1440.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.7231.2335.75
Details

Dundee Precious After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dundee Precious at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dundee Precious or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Dundee Precious, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dundee Precious Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dundee Precious' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dundee Precious' historical news coverage. Dundee Precious' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.99 and 38.65, respectively. We have considered Dundee Precious' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.49
36.32
After-hype Price
38.65
Upside
Dundee Precious is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dundee Precious Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dundee Precious Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dundee Precious is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dundee Precious backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dundee Precious, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.86 
2.31
  0.37 
  0.05 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.49
36.32
0.44 
537.21  
Notes

Dundee Precious Hype Timeline

Dundee Precious Metals is currently traded for 36.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Dundee is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.86%. The volatility of related hype on Dundee Precious is about 3725.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.54. The company reported the revenue of 641.44 M. Net Income was 210.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 281.5 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dundee Precious to cross-verify your projections.

Dundee Precious Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dundee Precious' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dundee Precious' future price movements. Getting to know how Dundee Precious' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dundee Precious may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TORXFTorex Gold Resources 0.00 0 per month 2.77  0.1  5.60 (5.69) 13.95 
CRNLFCapricorn Metals 0.00 0 per month 1.45  0.01  5.39 (2.88) 19.61 
KNTNFK92 Mining 0.19 6 per month 2.65  0.19  4.40 (4.73) 12.12 
REDLFRed 5 Limited 0.00 0 per month 11.76  0.1  13.60 (10.61) 128.62 
PMNXFPerseus Mining Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.73  0.15  4.86 (3.99) 10.76 
RGRNFRegis Resources 0.43 2 per month 2.77  0.1  6.14 (5.04) 18.78 
WBRBFWienerberger AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.45) 0.00  0.00  2.55 
MITUFMitsui Chemicals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 0.00  0.00  5.48 
SOMMFSumitomo Chemical 0.00 0 per month 7.26  0.07  25.91 (9.89) 48.24 
KOYJFKemira Oyj 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  1.13  0.00  8.82 

Other Forecasting Options for Dundee Precious

For every potential investor in Dundee, whether a beginner or expert, Dundee Precious' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dundee Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dundee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dundee Precious' price trends.

Dundee Precious Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dundee Precious pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dundee Precious could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dundee Precious by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dundee Precious Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dundee Precious pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dundee Precious shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dundee Precious pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dundee Precious Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dundee Precious Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dundee Precious' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dundee Precious' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dundee pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dundee Precious

The number of cover stories for Dundee Precious depends on current market conditions and Dundee Precious' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dundee Precious is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dundee Precious' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Dundee Pink Sheet

Dundee Precious financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dundee Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dundee with respect to the benefits of owning Dundee Precious security.