Dominos Pizza Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| DPZ Stock | USD 411.50 6.17 1.52% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dominos Pizza Common on the next trading day is expected to be 411.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.29. Dominos Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Dominos Pizza's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.301 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.5315 | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.6078 | EPS Estimate Next Year 19.6003 | Wall Street Target Price 488.2903 |
Using Dominos Pizza hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dominos Pizza Common from the perspective of Dominos Pizza response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dominos Pizza using Dominos Pizza's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dominos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dominos Pizza's stock price.
Dominos Pizza Short Interest
An investor who is long Dominos Pizza may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dominos Pizza and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dominos Pizza with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 443.5001 | Short Percent 0.0712 | Short Ratio 3.88 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 415.6912 |
Dominos Pizza Common Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dominos Pizza's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dominos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dominos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dominos Pizza Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Dominos Pizza Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Dominos Pizza's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dominos Pizza Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dominos Pizza's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dominos Pizza stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dominos Pizza's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dominos Pizza Common on the next trading day is expected to be 411.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.29. Dominos Pizza after-hype prediction price | USD 411.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dominos Pizza to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dominos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dominos Pizza Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Dominos Pizza trading at USD 411.5, that is roughly USD 0.14 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dominos Pizza's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dominos Pizza Common options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Dominos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dominos Pizza's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dominos Pizza's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dominos Pizza stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dominos Pizza's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dominos Pizza's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dominos Pizza is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dominos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Dominos Pizza Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dominos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dominos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dominos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dominos Pizza Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dominos Pizza Common on the next trading day is expected to be 411.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.97, mean absolute percentage error of 39.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dominos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dominos Pizza's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dominos Pizza Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dominos Pizza | Dominos Pizza Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dominos Pizza Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dominos Pizza's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dominos Pizza's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 410.01 and 412.99, respectively. We have considered Dominos Pizza's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dominos Pizza stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dominos Pizza stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9582 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0403 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.9715 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 298.29 |
Predictive Modules for Dominos Pizza
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dominos Pizza Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dominos Pizza After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dominos Pizza at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dominos Pizza or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dominos Pizza, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dominos Pizza Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dominos Pizza's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dominos Pizza's historical news coverage. Dominos Pizza's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 410.01 and 412.99, respectively. We have considered Dominos Pizza's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dominos Pizza is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dominos Pizza Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dominos Pizza Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dominos Pizza is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dominos Pizza backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dominos Pizza, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.49 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
411.50 | 411.50 | 0.00 |
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Dominos Pizza Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Dominos Pizza Common is traded for 411.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Dominos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 35.39%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dominos Pizza is about 287.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 411.49. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. Dominos Pizza Common recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dominos Pizza to cross-verify your projections.Dominos Pizza Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dominos Pizza's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dominos Pizza's future price movements. Getting to know how Dominos Pizza's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dominos Pizza may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings | 0.71 | 23 per month | 1.17 | 0.05 | 2.76 | (1.97) | 5.51 | |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse | 5.40 | 6 per month | 1.43 | 0.02 | 2.78 | (2.47) | 8.07 | |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | 0.10 | 12 per month | 1.32 | 0.12 | 3.01 | (2.09) | 7.45 | |
| MGA | Magna International | 0.24 | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.12 | 3.67 | (2.19) | 9.62 | |
| H | Hyatt Hotels | (2.98) | 2 per month | 1.55 | 0.05 | 4.14 | (2.86) | 10.45 | |
| HTHT | Huazhu Group | (2.41) | 4 per month | 1.23 | 0.18 | 2.60 | (2.65) | 11.58 | |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts Limited | 1.27 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.18 | (3.45) | 10.09 | |
| SN | SharkNinja | (2.85) | 10 per month | 2.27 | 0.15 | 5.93 | (3.37) | 14.41 | |
| TOL | Toll Brothers | (2.98) | 2 per month | 1.31 | 0.02 | 4.26 | (2.61) | 10.06 | |
| CHWY | Chewy Inc | (1.68) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.17 | (3.79) | 9.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dominos Pizza
For every potential investor in Dominos, whether a beginner or expert, Dominos Pizza's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dominos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dominos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dominos Pizza's price trends.Dominos Pizza Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dominos Pizza stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dominos Pizza could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dominos Pizza by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dominos Pizza Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dominos Pizza stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dominos Pizza shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dominos Pizza stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dominos Pizza Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18282.81 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5916 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 408.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 409.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 6.14 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 6.17 |
Dominos Pizza Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dominos Pizza's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dominos Pizza's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dominos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dominos Pizza
The number of cover stories for Dominos Pizza depends on current market conditions and Dominos Pizza's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dominos Pizza is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dominos Pizza's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dominos Pizza Short Properties
Dominos Pizza's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dominos Pizza's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dominos Pizza Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dominos Pizza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dominos Pizza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 186.1 M |
Additional Tools for Dominos Stock Analysis
When running Dominos Pizza's price analysis, check to measure Dominos Pizza's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dominos Pizza is operating at the current time. Most of Dominos Pizza's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dominos Pizza's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dominos Pizza's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dominos Pizza to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.