Pan Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

DQJCY Stock  USD 24.15  0.43  1.81%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pan Pacific International on the next trading day is expected to be 24.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.29. Pan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Pan Pacific - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Pan Pacific prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Pan Pacific price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Pan Pacific International.

Pan Pacific Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pan Pacific International on the next trading day is expected to be 24.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pan Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pan Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pan PacificPan Pacific Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pan Pacific Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pan Pacific's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pan Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.22 and 25.84, respectively. We have considered Pan Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.15
24.03
Expected Value
25.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pan Pacific pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pan Pacific pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0802
MADMean absolute deviation0.3439
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors20.29
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Pan Pacific observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Pan Pacific International observations.

Predictive Modules for Pan Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Pacific International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pan Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3424.1525.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9424.7526.56
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pan Pacific

For every potential investor in Pan, whether a beginner or expert, Pan Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pan Pacific's price trends.

Pan Pacific Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pan Pacific pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pan Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pan Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pan Pacific International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pan Pacific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pan Pacific's current price.

Pan Pacific Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pan Pacific pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pan Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pan Pacific pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pan Pacific International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pan Pacific Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pan Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pan Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Pan Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Pan Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Pan Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Pan Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.