Dividend Select Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| DS Stock | CAD 7.39 0.03 0.41% |
Dividend Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Dividend Select's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Dividend Select's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Dividend Select fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Dividend Select's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dividend Select, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dividend Select hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dividend Select 15 from the perspective of Dividend Select response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dividend Select 15 on the next trading day is expected to be 7.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.40. Dividend Select after-hype prediction price | CAD 7.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dividend |
Dividend Select Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dividend price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dividend using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dividend charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dividend Select Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dividend Select 15 on the next trading day is expected to be 7.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dividend Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dividend Select's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dividend Select Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dividend Select | Dividend Select Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dividend Select Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dividend Select's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dividend Select's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.31 and 8.49, respectively. We have considered Dividend Select's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dividend Select stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dividend Select stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1387 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0387 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0053 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3992 |
Predictive Modules for Dividend Select
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dividend Select 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dividend Select's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dividend Select After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dividend Select at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dividend Select or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dividend Select, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dividend Select Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dividend Select's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dividend Select's historical news coverage. Dividend Select's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.31 and 8.47, respectively. We have considered Dividend Select's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dividend Select is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dividend Select 15 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dividend Select Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dividend Select is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dividend Select backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dividend Select, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.39 | 7.39 | 0.00 |
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Dividend Select Hype Timeline
Dividend Select 15 is currently traded for 7.39on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dividend is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dividend Select is about 3065.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.39. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dividend Select 15 last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The entity had 1:2 split on the 23rd of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dividend Select to cross-verify your projections.Dividend Select Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dividend Select's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dividend Select's future price movements. Getting to know how Dividend Select's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dividend Select may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PWI | Sustainable Power Infrastructure | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.82 | 0.10 | 2.51 | (1.79) | 6.68 | |
| XTD | TDb Split Corp | (0.09) | 4 per month | 1.13 | 0.19 | 3.02 | (2.03) | 8.57 | |
| BNK | Bankers Petroleum | (0.02) | 1 per month | 1.13 | (0) | 1.84 | (2.09) | 5.41 | |
| LCS | Brompton Lifeco Split | (0.02) | 3 per month | 3.67 | (0.01) | 2.40 | (1.54) | 5.34 | |
| LBI | Lions Bay Capital | (0.09) | 4 per month | 5.75 | 0.13 | 17.86 | (6.25) | 52.38 | |
| PDV | Prime Dividend Corp | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.52 | 0.19 | 2.77 | (1.26) | 7.14 | |
| CBIT | Cathedra Bitcoin | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 11.89 | (12.17) | 29.36 | |
| PRM | Big Pharma Split | (0.20) | 7 per month | 1.30 | 0.13 | 3.80 | (2.77) | 8.37 | |
| ELC | Elysee Development Corp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.16 | 0.08 | 6.38 | (3.92) | 13.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dividend Select
For every potential investor in Dividend, whether a beginner or expert, Dividend Select's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dividend Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dividend. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dividend Select's price trends.Dividend Select Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dividend Select stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dividend Select could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dividend Select by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dividend Select Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dividend Select stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dividend Select shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dividend Select stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dividend Select 15 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dividend Select Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dividend Select's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dividend Select's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dividend stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7387 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9105 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.829 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dividend Select
The number of cover stories for Dividend Select depends on current market conditions and Dividend Select's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dividend Select is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dividend Select's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dividend Select Short Properties
Dividend Select's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dividend Select's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dividend Select 15 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dividend Select's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dividend Select's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Dividend Stock
Dividend Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dividend Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dividend with respect to the benefits of owning Dividend Select security.