Drive Shack Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression
| DSHK Stock | 11.98 0.03 0.25% |
Drive Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Drive Shack's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Drive Shack, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Drive Shack hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Drive Shack from the perspective of Drive Shack response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Drive Shack on the next trading day is expected to be 13.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.51. Drive Shack after-hype prediction price | USD 11.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Drive |
Drive Shack Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Drive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Drive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Drive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Drive Shack Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Drive Shack on the next trading day is expected to be 13.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 1.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Drive Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Drive Shack's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Drive Shack Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Drive Shack | Drive Shack Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Drive Shack Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Drive Shack's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Drive Shack's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.81 and 19.17, respectively. We have considered Drive Shack's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Drive Shack pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Drive Shack pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4482 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9592 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0714 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 58.5085 |
Predictive Modules for Drive Shack
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Drive Shack. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Drive Shack After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Drive Shack at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Drive Shack or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Drive Shack, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Drive Shack Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Drive Shack's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Drive Shack's historical news coverage. Drive Shack's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.30 and 17.66, respectively. We have considered Drive Shack's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Drive Shack is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Drive Shack is based on 3 months time horizon.
Drive Shack Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Drive Shack is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Drive Shack backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Drive Shack, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 5.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.98 | 11.98 | 0.00 |
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Drive Shack Hype Timeline
Drive Shack is currently traded for 11.98. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Drive is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Drive Shack is about 4647272.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.98. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2016. Drive Shack had 5575:1000 split on the 7th of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Drive Shack to cross-verify your projections.Drive Shack Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Drive Shack's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Drive Shack's future price movements. Getting to know how Drive Shack's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Drive Shack may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XFTB | XFit Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.00 | |
| FVTI | Fortune Valley Treasures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17,333 | |
| AIGI | Axia International Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LUKEF | Real Luck Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRUA | Triumph Apparel | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADBN | Americana Distribution | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FUNFF | FansUnite Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 39.82 | 0.32 | 450.00 | (80.00) | 890.00 | |
| VMHG | Victory Marine Holdings | (0) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 12.50 | (18.18) | 92.86 | |
| CMHZ | Banny Cosmic International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Drive Shack
For every potential investor in Drive, whether a beginner or expert, Drive Shack's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Drive Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Drive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Drive Shack's price trends.Drive Shack Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Drive Shack pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Drive Shack could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Drive Shack by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Drive Shack Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Drive Shack pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Drive Shack shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Drive Shack pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Drive Shack entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Drive Shack Risk Indicators
The analysis of Drive Shack's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Drive Shack's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting drive pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.93 | |||
| Variance | 35.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Drive Shack
The number of cover stories for Drive Shack depends on current market conditions and Drive Shack's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Drive Shack is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Drive Shack's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Drive Pink Sheet
Drive Shack financial ratios help investors to determine whether Drive Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Drive with respect to the benefits of owning Drive Shack security.