Daiichi Sankyo Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

DSNKY Stock  USD 28.78  0.28  0.96%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Daiichi Sankyo Co on the next trading day is expected to be 28.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.47. Daiichi Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Daiichi Sankyo is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Daiichi Sankyo Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Daiichi Sankyo Co on the next trading day is expected to be 28.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Daiichi Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Daiichi Sankyo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Daiichi Sankyo Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Daiichi Sankyo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Daiichi Sankyo's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Daiichi Sankyo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.21 and 30.35, respectively. We have considered Daiichi Sankyo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.78
28.78
Expected Value
30.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Daiichi Sankyo pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Daiichi Sankyo pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6223
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3099
MADMean absolute deviation0.5165
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors30.475
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Daiichi Sankyo Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Daiichi Sankyo. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Daiichi Sankyo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daiichi Sankyo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.2128.7830.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8822.4531.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.6128.8729.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Daiichi Sankyo

For every potential investor in Daiichi, whether a beginner or expert, Daiichi Sankyo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Daiichi Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Daiichi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Daiichi Sankyo's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Daiichi Sankyo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Daiichi Sankyo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Daiichi Sankyo's current price.

Daiichi Sankyo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Daiichi Sankyo pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Daiichi Sankyo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Daiichi Sankyo pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Daiichi Sankyo Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Daiichi Sankyo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Daiichi Sankyo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Daiichi Sankyo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting daiichi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Daiichi Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Daiichi Sankyo's price analysis, check to measure Daiichi Sankyo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daiichi Sankyo is operating at the current time. Most of Daiichi Sankyo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daiichi Sankyo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daiichi Sankyo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daiichi Sankyo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.