Dian Swastatika Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DSSA Stock | IDR 78,500 500.00 0.63% |
Dian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Dian Swastatika's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 19
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dian Swastatika hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dian Swastatika Sentosa from the perspective of Dian Swastatika response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dian Swastatika Sentosa on the next trading day is expected to be 85,420 with a mean absolute deviation of 4,758 and the sum of the absolute errors of 295,000. Dian Swastatika after-hype prediction price | IDR 78500.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dian |
Dian Swastatika Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dian Swastatika Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dian Swastatika Sentosa on the next trading day is expected to be 85,420 with a mean absolute deviation of 4,758, mean absolute percentage error of 37,219,461, and the sum of the absolute errors of 295,000.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dian Swastatika's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dian Swastatika Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dian Swastatika | Dian Swastatika Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Dian Swastatika Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dian Swastatika's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dian Swastatika's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85,416 and 85,424, respectively. We have considered Dian Swastatika's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dian Swastatika stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dian Swastatika stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 137.3807 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4758.0603 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0483 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 294999.7394 |
Predictive Modules for Dian Swastatika
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dian Swastatika Sentosa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dian Swastatika After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dian Swastatika at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dian Swastatika or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dian Swastatika, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dian Swastatika Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dian Swastatika's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dian Swastatika's historical news coverage. Dian Swastatika's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78,496 and 78,504, respectively. We have considered Dian Swastatika's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dian Swastatika is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dian Swastatika Sentosa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dian Swastatika Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dian Swastatika is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dian Swastatika backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dian Swastatika, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 4.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
78,500 | 78,500 | 0.00 |
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Dian Swastatika Hype Timeline
Dian Swastatika Sentosa is currently traded for 78,500on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dian is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dian Swastatika is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78,500. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dian Swastatika Sentosa recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8063.42. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 17th of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dian Swastatika to cross-verify your projections.Dian Swastatika Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dian Swastatika's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dian Swastatika's future price movements. Getting to know how Dian Swastatika's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dian Swastatika may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BYAN | Bayan Resources Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.28 | (2.61) | 10.34 | |
| BUMI | Bumi Resources Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.90 | 0.04 | 14.53 | (9.84) | 34.82 | |
| SMMT | Golden Eagle Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.17 | (5.32) | 12.34 | |
| DEWA | Darma Henwa Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.83 | 0.06 | 11.88 | (10.13) | 38.14 | |
| ITMG | Indo Tambangraya Megah | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | 0.13 | 1.51 | (1.13) | 3.89 | |
| FIRE | Alfa Energi Investama | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.75 | 0.14 | 19.70 | (9.58) | 49.33 | |
| GEMS | PT Golden Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.31 | (2.48) | 9.40 | |
| ADRO | PT Alamtri Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.25 | 4.68 | (3.42) | 11.96 | |
| ADMR | Adaro Minerals Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.96 | 0.19 | 9.73 | (6.25) | 23.34 | |
| ABMM | Abm Investama Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.02 | 2.41 | (2.10) | 8.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dian Swastatika
For every potential investor in Dian, whether a beginner or expert, Dian Swastatika's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dian Swastatika's price trends.Dian Swastatika Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dian Swastatika stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dian Swastatika could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dian Swastatika by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dian Swastatika Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dian Swastatika stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dian Swastatika shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dian Swastatika stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dian Swastatika Sentosa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 49654.66 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 79500.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 79166.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.001 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1,250) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (500.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 19.86 |
Dian Swastatika Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dian Swastatika's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dian Swastatika's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Variance | 17.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dian Swastatika
The number of cover stories for Dian Swastatika depends on current market conditions and Dian Swastatika's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dian Swastatika is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dian Swastatika's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Dian Swastatika Short Properties
Dian Swastatika's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dian Swastatika's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dian Swastatika Sentosa often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dian Swastatika's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dian Swastatika's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 770.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 612.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in Dian Stock
Dian Swastatika financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dian with respect to the benefits of owning Dian Swastatika security.