Dynatrace Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

DT Stock  USD 55.46  2.99  5.70%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dynatrace Holdings LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 54.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.53. Dynatrace Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Dynatrace Holdings' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 17.89 in 2024, whereas Asset Turnover is likely to drop 0.25 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 310.7 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 130.4 M in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Dynatrace Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Dynatrace Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dynatrace Holdings LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 54.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 1.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dynatrace Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dynatrace Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dynatrace Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dynatrace Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dynatrace Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dynatrace Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.27 and 56.29, respectively. We have considered Dynatrace Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
55.46
54.78
Expected Value
56.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dynatrace Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dynatrace Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5043
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9595
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors58.5306
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Dynatrace Holdings LLC historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Dynatrace Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dynatrace Holdings LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dynatrace Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.0252.3653.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.2254.5255.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.2753.6355.98
Details
33 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
51.3156.3962.59
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dynatrace Holdings

For every potential investor in Dynatrace, whether a beginner or expert, Dynatrace Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dynatrace Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dynatrace. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dynatrace Holdings' price trends.

Dynatrace Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dynatrace Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dynatrace Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dynatrace Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dynatrace Holdings LLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dynatrace Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dynatrace Holdings' current price.

Dynatrace Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dynatrace Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dynatrace Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dynatrace Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dynatrace Holdings LLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dynatrace Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dynatrace Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dynatrace Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dynatrace stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Dynatrace Stock Analysis

When running Dynatrace Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Dynatrace Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dynatrace Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Dynatrace Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dynatrace Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dynatrace Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dynatrace Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.