DTF Tax Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DTF Stock | USD 11.43 0.02 0.17% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DTF Tax Free on the next trading day is expected to be 11.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.65. DTF Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DTF Tax's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of DTF Tax's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.638 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
Using DTF Tax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DTF Tax Free from the perspective of DTF Tax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DTF Tax Free on the next trading day is expected to be 11.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.65. DTF Tax after-hype prediction price | USD 11.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DTF Tax to cross-verify your projections. DTF Tax Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DTF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DTF using various technical indicators. When you analyze DTF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DTF Tax Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the DTF Tax's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2006-10-31 | Previous Quarter 1.8 M | Current Value 4.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 5.4 M |
DTF Tax Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DTF Tax Free on the next trading day is expected to be 11.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DTF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DTF Tax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DTF Tax Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DTF Tax | DTF Tax Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
DTF Tax Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DTF Tax's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DTF Tax's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.10 and 11.81, respectively. We have considered DTF Tax's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DTF Tax stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DTF Tax stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.3086 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.027 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0024 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.6482 |
Predictive Modules for DTF Tax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DTF Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DTF Tax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DTF Tax After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DTF Tax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DTF Tax or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DTF Tax, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DTF Tax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DTF Tax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DTF Tax's historical news coverage. DTF Tax's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.08 and 11.78, respectively. We have considered DTF Tax's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DTF Tax is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DTF Tax Free is based on 3 months time horizon.
DTF Tax Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DTF Tax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DTF Tax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DTF Tax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.43 | 11.43 | 0.00 |
|
DTF Tax Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January DTF Tax Free is traded for 11.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. DTF is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on DTF Tax is about 833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.43. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DTF Tax Free last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DTF Tax to cross-verify your projections.DTF Tax Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DTF Tax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DTF Tax's future price movements. Getting to know how DTF Tax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DTF Tax may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BJBHX | Aberdeen Global High | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.26 | (0.26) | 0.53 | |
| GCV | Gabelli Convertible And | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.88 | (0.01) | 1.99 | (1.44) | 4.09 | |
| RLGAX | Riverfront Dynamic Equity | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.45 | (0.05) | 0.76 | (0.82) | 2.21 | |
| SSIFX | Sextant International Fund | (0.13) | 1 per month | 1.00 | 0.09 | 1.81 | (2.14) | 23.78 | |
| SIFZX | Sextant International Fund | (0.14) | 1 per month | 1.00 | 0.09 | 1.80 | (2.18) | 23.70 | |
| PCM | Pcm Fund | 0.03 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.00 | (1.31) | 3.49 | |
| VLT | Invesco High Income | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.15 | (0.05) | 0.64 | (0.45) | 1.82 | |
| SPTE | SP Funds Trust | (0.12) | 2 per month | 1.43 | (0.01) | 1.75 | (2.31) | 5.49 | |
| MSSVX | Amg Frontier Small | (0.02) | 1 per month | 1.38 | 0.09 | 2.33 | (2.67) | 5.86 | |
| ARFFX | Ariel Focus Fund | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.47 | 0.14 | 1.88 | (1.31) | 14.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for DTF Tax
For every potential investor in DTF, whether a beginner or expert, DTF Tax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DTF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DTF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DTF Tax's price trends.DTF Tax Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DTF Tax stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DTF Tax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DTF Tax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DTF Tax Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DTF Tax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DTF Tax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DTF Tax stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DTF Tax Free entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DTF Tax Risk Indicators
The analysis of DTF Tax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DTF Tax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dtf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2754 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2658 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3547 | |||
| Variance | 0.1258 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1362 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0706 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DTF Tax
The number of cover stories for DTF Tax depends on current market conditions and DTF Tax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DTF Tax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DTF Tax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
DTF Tax Short Properties
DTF Tax's future price predictability will typically decrease when DTF Tax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DTF Tax Free often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DTF Tax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DTF Tax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DTF Tax to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DTF Tax. If investors know DTF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DTF Tax listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.638 | Dividend Share 0.39 | Earnings Share 0.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of DTF Tax Free is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DTF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DTF Tax's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DTF Tax's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DTF Tax's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DTF Tax's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DTF Tax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DTF Tax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DTF Tax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.