DAIMLER TRUCK Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for DAIMLER TRUCK - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When DAIMLER TRUCK prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in DAIMLER TRUCK price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of DAIMLER TRUCK SPADS12.

DAIMLER TRUCK Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DAIMLER TRUCK SPADS12 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.62.

DAIMLER TRUCK Stock Forecast Pattern

DAIMLER TRUCK Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DAIMLER TRUCK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DAIMLER TRUCK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past DAIMLER TRUCK observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older DAIMLER TRUCK SPADS12 observations.

Predictive Modules for DAIMLER TRUCK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DAIMLER TRUCK SPADS12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 14.68 17.70 20.72 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 11.55 14.57 19.47 Details

Other Forecasting Options for DAIMLER TRUCK

For every potential investor in DAIMLER, whether a beginner or expert, DAIMLER TRUCK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DAIMLER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DAIMLER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DAIMLER TRUCK's price trends.

DAIMLER TRUCK Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

DAIMLER TRUCK SPADS12 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DAIMLER TRUCK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DAIMLER TRUCK's current price.

DAIMLER TRUCK Market Strength Events

DAIMLER TRUCK Risk Indicators

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in DAIMLER Stock