Dürr Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

DUERF Stock  USD 21.97  0.00  0.00%   
Dürr Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dürr Aktiengesellscha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Dürr Aktiengesellscha's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dürr Aktiengesellscha's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dürr Aktiengesellscha and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dürr Aktiengesellscha's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Drr Aktiengesellschaft, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Dürr Aktiengesellscha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Drr Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of Dürr Aktiengesellscha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Drr Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 22.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.18.

Dürr Aktiengesellscha after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dürr Aktiengesellscha to cross-verify your projections.

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dürr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dürr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dürr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Dürr Aktiengesellscha is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Drr Aktiengesellschaft value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Drr Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 22.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dürr Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dürr Aktiengesellscha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dürr Aktiengesellscha  Dürr Aktiengesellscha Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dürr Aktiengesellscha's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dürr Aktiengesellscha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.09 and 23.20, respectively. We have considered Dürr Aktiengesellscha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.97
22.14
Expected Value
23.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dürr Aktiengesellscha pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dürr Aktiengesellscha pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6352
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1833
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.008
SAESum of the absolute errors11.1812
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Drr Aktiengesellschaft. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dürr Aktiengesellscha. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dürr Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Drr Aktiengesellschaft. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.9221.9723.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9718.0224.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.9721.9721.97
Details

Dürr Aktiengesellscha After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dürr Aktiengesellscha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dürr Aktiengesellscha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Dürr Aktiengesellscha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dürr Aktiengesellscha's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dürr Aktiengesellscha's historical news coverage. Dürr Aktiengesellscha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.92 and 23.02, respectively. We have considered Dürr Aktiengesellscha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.97
21.97
After-hype Price
23.02
Upside
Dürr Aktiengesellscha is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Drr Aktiengesellschaft is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dürr Aktiengesellscha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dürr Aktiengesellscha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dürr Aktiengesellscha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.05
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.97
21.97
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Hype Timeline

Drr Aktiengesellschaft is currently traded for 21.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dürr is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dürr Aktiengesellscha is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.97. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Drr Aktiengesellschaft last dividend was issued on the 16th of May 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dürr Aktiengesellscha to cross-verify your projections.

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dürr Aktiengesellscha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dürr Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. Getting to know how Dürr Aktiengesellscha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dürr Aktiengesellscha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ECTXFElectrolux Professional AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.00  0.00  2.24 
PFFVFPfeiffer Vacuum Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.01  0.00  5.71 
HSYDFHarmonic Drive Systems 0.00 0 per month 4.95  0.09  11.70 (9.09) 29.02 
ATCDAltair Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  4.00 
FIRRFFirst Tractor 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 0.00  0.00  8.64 
BJCHYBeijing Capital International 0.00 0 per month 5.32  0.03  20.86 (7.43) 57.44 
DEUZFDEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  1.12 (0.22) 12.92 
GNGYFGuangshen Railway 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.00  0.00  36.02 
NARRFNagoya Railroad Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MPGPYPagegroup PLC ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Dürr Aktiengesellscha

For every potential investor in Dürr, whether a beginner or expert, Dürr Aktiengesellscha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dürr Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dürr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dürr Aktiengesellscha's price trends.

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dürr Aktiengesellscha pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dürr Aktiengesellscha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dürr Aktiengesellscha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dürr Aktiengesellscha pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dürr Aktiengesellscha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dürr Aktiengesellscha pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Drr Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dürr Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dürr Aktiengesellscha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dürr Aktiengesellscha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dürr pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dürr Aktiengesellscha

The number of cover stories for Dürr Aktiengesellscha depends on current market conditions and Dürr Aktiengesellscha's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dürr Aktiengesellscha is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dürr Aktiengesellscha's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Dürr Pink Sheet

Dürr Aktiengesellscha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dürr Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dürr with respect to the benefits of owning Dürr Aktiengesellscha security.