Dustin Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

DUSXF Stock  USD 0.17  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dustin Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Dustin Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dustin Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Dustin Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dustin Group AB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dustin Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dustin Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dustin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dustin Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dustin Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Dustin Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dustin Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dustin Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.17 and 0.17, respectively. We have considered Dustin Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.17
0.17
Expected Value
0.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dustin Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dustin Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria45.4022
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Dustin Group AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dustin Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dustin Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dustin Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dustin Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.170.170.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.140.140.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dustin Group

For every potential investor in Dustin, whether a beginner or expert, Dustin Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dustin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dustin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dustin Group's price trends.

Dustin Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dustin Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dustin Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dustin Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dustin Group AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dustin Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dustin Group's current price.

Dustin Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dustin Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dustin Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dustin Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dustin Group AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Dustin Pink Sheet

Dustin Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dustin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dustin with respect to the benefits of owning Dustin Group security.