Peruvian Metals OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DUVNF Stock  USD 0.01  0  10.94%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peruvian Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Peruvian OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Peruvian Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Peruvian Metals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Peruvian Metals Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Peruvian Metals Corp prices get older.

Peruvian Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Peruvian Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000122, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Peruvian OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Peruvian Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Peruvian Metals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Peruvian Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Peruvian Metals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Peruvian Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 8.89, respectively. We have considered Peruvian Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
8.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Peruvian Metals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Peruvian Metals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.6558
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation6.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0472
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0382
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Peruvian Metals Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Peruvian Metals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Peruvian Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peruvian Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.018.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Peruvian Metals

For every potential investor in Peruvian, whether a beginner or expert, Peruvian Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Peruvian OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Peruvian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Peruvian Metals' price trends.

Peruvian Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Peruvian Metals otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Peruvian Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peruvian Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Peruvian Metals Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Peruvian Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Peruvian Metals' current price.

Peruvian Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Peruvian Metals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Peruvian Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Peruvian Metals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Peruvian Metals Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Peruvian Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Peruvian Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Peruvian Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting peruvian otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Peruvian OTC Stock

Peruvian Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peruvian OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peruvian with respect to the benefits of owning Peruvian Metals security.