Dynavax Technologies Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

DVAX Stock  USD 15.50  0.01  0.06%   
Dynavax Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of Dynavax Technologies' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dynavax Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dynavax Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dynavax Technologies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.693
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.335
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.45
Wall Street Target Price
16
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.12
Using Dynavax Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dynavax Technologies from the perspective of Dynavax Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dynavax Technologies using Dynavax Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dynavax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dynavax Technologies' stock price.

Dynavax Technologies Short Interest

An investor who is long Dynavax Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dynavax Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dynavax Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
11.2758
Short Percent
0.1319
Short Ratio
2.81
Shares Short Prior Month
10.6 M
50 Day MA
14.1217

Dynavax Relative Strength Index

Dynavax Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Dynavax Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dynavax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dynavax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dynavax Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dynavax Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dynavax Technologies.

Dynavax Technologies Implied Volatility

    
  0.5  
Dynavax Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dynavax Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dynavax Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dynavax Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dynavax Technologies' options are near their expiration.

Dynavax Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dynavax Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Dynavax Stock please use our How to Invest in Dynavax Technologies guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dynavax contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dynavax Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Dynavax Technologies trading at USD 15.5, that is roughly USD 0.004844 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dynavax Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dynavax Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Dynavax Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dynavax Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dynavax Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dynavax Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dynavax Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Dynavax Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dynavax Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dynavax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Dynavax Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dynavax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dynavax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dynavax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Dynavax Technologies has current Accumulation Distribution of 6.0E-4. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Dynavax Technologies is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Dynavax Technologies to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Dynavax Technologies trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Dynavax Technologies VolatilityBacktest Dynavax TechnologiesInformation Ratio  

Dynavax Technologies Trading Date Momentum

On February 14 2026 Dynavax Technologies was traded for  15.50  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 15.50  and the lowest listed price was  15.49 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 14, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.06% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Dynavax Technologies to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Dynavax Technologies

For every potential investor in Dynavax, whether a beginner or expert, Dynavax Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dynavax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dynavax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dynavax Technologies' price trends.

Dynavax Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dynavax Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dynavax Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dynavax Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dynavax Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dynavax Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dynavax Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dynavax Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dynavax Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dynavax Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dynavax Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dynavax Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dynavax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dynavax Technologies

The number of cover stories for Dynavax Technologies depends on current market conditions and Dynavax Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dynavax Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dynavax Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Dynavax Technologies Short Properties

Dynavax Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dynavax Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dynavax Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dynavax Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dynavax Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments713.8 M

Additional Tools for Dynavax Stock Analysis

When running Dynavax Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Dynavax Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dynavax Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Dynavax Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dynavax Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dynavax Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dynavax Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.