Golden Developing Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Developing Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000013 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000965 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006. Golden Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Golden Developing's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Golden Developing's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Golden Developing Solutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Golden Developing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Developing Solutions from the perspective of Golden Developing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Developing Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000013 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000965 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.

Golden Developing after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Developing to cross-verify your projections.

Golden Developing Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Golden Developing is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Golden Developing Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Golden Developing Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Developing Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000013 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000965, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Developing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Golden Developing Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Golden DevelopingGolden Developing Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Golden Developing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Golden Developing's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Developing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.70, respectively. We have considered Golden Developing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.000013
Expected Value
12.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Developing pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Developing pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.8101
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Golden Developing Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Golden Developing. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Golden Developing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Developing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Golden Developing

For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Developing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Developing's price trends.

Golden Developing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Developing pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Developing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Developing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Golden Developing Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Golden Developing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Golden Developing's current price.

Pair Trading with Golden Developing

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Golden Developing position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Golden Developing will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Golden Pink Sheet

  0.75MKKGY Merck KGaA ADRPairCorr
  0.73MKGAF MERCK KommanditgesellsPairCorr
  0.71TAK Takeda PharmaceuticalPairCorr
  0.69TKPHF Takeda PharmaceuticalPairCorr
  0.63TEVA Teva PharmaceuticalPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Golden Developing could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Golden Developing when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Golden Developing - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Golden Developing Solutions to buy it.
The correlation of Golden Developing is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Golden Developing moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Golden Developing moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Golden Developing can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Golden Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Golden Developing's price analysis, check to measure Golden Developing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golden Developing is operating at the current time. Most of Golden Developing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golden Developing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golden Developing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golden Developing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.