Delaware Small Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Delaware Small Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Delaware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delaware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delaware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Delaware Small simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Delaware Small Cap are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Delaware Small Cap prices get older.

Delaware Small Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Delaware Small Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 62.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 1.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.34.

Delaware Small Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Delaware Small Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delaware Small mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delaware Small mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Delaware Small Cap forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Delaware Small observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Delaware Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delaware Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 47.45 49.51 68.48 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 61.72 63.78 65.84 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 49.29 57.38 65.47 Details

Delaware Small After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Delaware Small Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Delaware Small Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Delaware Small Hype Timeline

Delaware Small Cap is currently traded for 62.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -12.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.88. Delaware is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 49.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 6.47%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -20.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Delaware Small is about 93.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.13. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Delaware Small Cap last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delaware Small to cross-verify your projections.

Delaware Small Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Delaware Small

For every potential investor in Delaware, whether a beginner or expert, Delaware Small's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delaware Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delaware. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delaware Small's price trends.

Delaware Small Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Delaware Small Market Strength Events

Delaware Small Risk Indicators

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Other Information on Investing in Delaware Mutual Fund