Deutsche Wohnen Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DWHHF Stock  USD 25.40  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Deutsche Wohnen SE on the next trading day is expected to be 25.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Deutsche Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Deutsche Wohnen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Deutsche Wohnen simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Deutsche Wohnen SE are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Deutsche Wohnen SE prices get older.

Deutsche Wohnen Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Deutsche Wohnen SE on the next trading day is expected to be 25.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Deutsche Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Deutsche Wohnen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Deutsche Wohnen Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Deutsche Wohnen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Deutsche Wohnen's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Deutsche Wohnen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.40 and 25.40, respectively. We have considered Deutsche Wohnen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.40
25.40
Expected Value
25.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Deutsche Wohnen pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Deutsche Wohnen pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Deutsche Wohnen SE forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Deutsche Wohnen observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Wohnen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Wohnen SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.4025.4025.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4025.4025.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.4025.4025.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Wohnen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Wohnen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Wohnen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Wohnen SE.

Other Forecasting Options for Deutsche Wohnen

For every potential investor in Deutsche, whether a beginner or expert, Deutsche Wohnen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Deutsche Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Deutsche. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Deutsche Wohnen's price trends.

Deutsche Wohnen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Deutsche Wohnen pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Deutsche Wohnen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Deutsche Wohnen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Deutsche Wohnen SE Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Deutsche Wohnen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Deutsche Wohnen's current price.

Deutsche Wohnen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Deutsche Wohnen pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Deutsche Wohnen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Deutsche Wohnen pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Deutsche Wohnen SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Pink Sheet

Deutsche Wohnen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Wohnen security.