Xtrackers FTSE Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DX2K Etf  EUR 2.86  0.02  0.69%   
Xtrackers Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xtrackers FTSE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Xtrackers FTSE's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xtrackers FTSE, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Xtrackers FTSE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Xtrackers FTSE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Xtrackers FTSE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xtrackers FTSE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Xtrackers FTSE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xtrackers FTSE from the perspective of Xtrackers FTSE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Xtrackers FTSE on the next trading day is expected to be 2.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81.

Xtrackers FTSE after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 2.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xtrackers FTSE to cross-verify your projections.

Xtrackers FTSE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xtrackers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xtrackers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xtrackers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Xtrackers FTSE simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Xtrackers FTSE are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Xtrackers FTSE prices get older.

Xtrackers FTSE Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Xtrackers FTSE on the next trading day is expected to be 2.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xtrackers Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xtrackers FTSE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xtrackers FTSE Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Xtrackers FTSE  Xtrackers FTSE Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Xtrackers FTSE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xtrackers FTSE's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xtrackers FTSE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.27 and 3.45, respectively. We have considered Xtrackers FTSE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.86
2.86
Expected Value
3.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xtrackers FTSE etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xtrackers FTSE etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.1441
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0135
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0046
SAESum of the absolute errors0.81
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Xtrackers FTSE forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Xtrackers FTSE observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Xtrackers FTSE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xtrackers FTSE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.272.863.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.082.673.26
Details

Xtrackers FTSE After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Xtrackers FTSE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xtrackers FTSE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Xtrackers FTSE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Xtrackers FTSE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Xtrackers FTSE's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xtrackers FTSE's historical news coverage. Xtrackers FTSE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.27 and 3.45, respectively. We have considered Xtrackers FTSE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.86
2.86
After-hype Price
3.45
Upside
Xtrackers FTSE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xtrackers FTSE is based on 3 months time horizon.

Xtrackers FTSE Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Xtrackers FTSE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xtrackers FTSE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xtrackers FTSE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.59
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.86
2.86
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Xtrackers FTSE Hype Timeline

Xtrackers FTSE is currently traded for 2.86on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Xtrackers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xtrackers FTSE is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.86. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xtrackers FTSE to cross-verify your projections.

Xtrackers FTSE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Xtrackers FTSE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xtrackers FTSE's future price movements. Getting to know how Xtrackers FTSE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xtrackers FTSE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Xtrackers FTSE

For every potential investor in Xtrackers, whether a beginner or expert, Xtrackers FTSE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xtrackers Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xtrackers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xtrackers FTSE's price trends.

Xtrackers FTSE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xtrackers FTSE etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xtrackers FTSE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xtrackers FTSE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xtrackers FTSE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xtrackers FTSE etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xtrackers FTSE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xtrackers FTSE etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Xtrackers FTSE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xtrackers FTSE Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xtrackers FTSE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xtrackers FTSE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xtrackers etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Xtrackers FTSE

The number of cover stories for Xtrackers FTSE depends on current market conditions and Xtrackers FTSE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xtrackers FTSE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xtrackers FTSE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Xtrackers FTSE Short Properties

Xtrackers FTSE's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xtrackers FTSE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xtrackers FTSE often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xtrackers FTSE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xtrackers FTSE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day400
Average Daily Volume In Three Month50

Other Information on Investing in Xtrackers Etf

Xtrackers FTSE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xtrackers Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xtrackers with respect to the benefits of owning Xtrackers FTSE security.