Airbus Group Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

EADSF Stock  USD 234.09  2.09  0.90%   
Airbus Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Airbus Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Airbus Group's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Airbus Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Airbus Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Airbus Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Airbus Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Airbus Group SE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Airbus Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Airbus Group SE from the perspective of Airbus Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Airbus Group SE on the next trading day is expected to be 234.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.37.

Airbus Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 234.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Airbus Group to cross-verify your projections.

Airbus Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Airbus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Airbus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Airbus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Airbus Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Airbus Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Airbus Group SE on the next trading day is expected to be 234.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.19, mean absolute percentage error of 16.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Airbus Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Airbus Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Airbus Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Airbus Group  Airbus Group Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Airbus Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Airbus Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Airbus Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 232.50 and 235.68, respectively. We have considered Airbus Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
234.09
232.50
Downside
234.09
Expected Value
235.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Airbus Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Airbus Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2442
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2774
MADMean absolute deviation3.1926
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors188.365
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Airbus Group SE price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Airbus Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Airbus Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airbus Group SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Airbus Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
232.50234.09235.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
210.68236.69238.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
226.87242.43258.00
Details

Airbus Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Airbus Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Airbus Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Airbus Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Airbus Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Airbus Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Airbus Group's historical news coverage. Airbus Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 232.50 and 235.68, respectively. We have considered Airbus Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
234.09
232.50
Downside
234.09
After-hype Price
235.68
Upside
Airbus Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Airbus Group SE is based on 3 months time horizon.

Airbus Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Airbus Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Airbus Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Airbus Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
1.59
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
234.09
234.09
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Airbus Group Hype Timeline

Airbus Group SE is currently traded for 234.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Airbus is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Airbus Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 234.09. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.04. Airbus Group SE recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Airbus Group to cross-verify your projections.

Airbus Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Airbus Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Airbus Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Airbus Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Airbus Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SAFRYSafran SA 0.00 0 per month 1.36 (0.02) 2.83 (2.56) 6.87 
SAFRFSafran SA 0.00 0 per month 1.51 (0.02) 2.64 (2.37) 6.19 
ANYYYAena SME SA 0.00 0 per month 1.66  0.08  2.44 (2.16) 7.09 
RYCEFRolls Royce Holdings PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.62  0.04  3.24 (2.57) 6.87 
RYCEYRolls Royce Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.51  0.07  3.63 (2.29) 6.81 
SMAWFSiemens AG Class 0.00 0 per month 2.41  0.04  2.96 (3.58) 11.09 
SIEGYSiemens AG ADR 0.00 0 per month 2.22  0.05  2.46 (2.23) 11.75 
SBGSFSchneider Electric SE 0.00 0 per month 2.52  0.03  4.00 (4.66) 10.90 
HTHIFHitachi 0.00 0 per month 3.23  0.01  4.42 (4.41) 13.15 
SBGSYSchneider Electric SA 0.00 0 per month 1.83  0.01  2.91 (2.86) 7.05 

Other Forecasting Options for Airbus Group

For every potential investor in Airbus, whether a beginner or expert, Airbus Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Airbus Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Airbus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Airbus Group's price trends.

Airbus Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Airbus Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Airbus Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Airbus Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Airbus Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Airbus Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Airbus Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Airbus Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Airbus Group SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Airbus Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Airbus Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Airbus Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting airbus pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Airbus Group

The number of cover stories for Airbus Group depends on current market conditions and Airbus Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Airbus Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Airbus Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Airbus Pink Sheet

Airbus Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Airbus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Airbus with respect to the benefits of owning Airbus Group security.