Eastern Asteria Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| EATR Stock | USD 0.0008 0.0001 11.11% |
Eastern Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Eastern Asteria's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Eastern Asteria hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eastern Asteria from the perspective of Eastern Asteria response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastern Asteria on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0008 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Eastern Asteria after-hype prediction price | USD 8.85E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eastern |
Eastern Asteria Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eastern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eastern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eastern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Eastern Asteria Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastern Asteria on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0008 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00006, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eastern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eastern Asteria's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eastern Asteria Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Eastern Asteria | Eastern Asteria Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Eastern Asteria Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eastern Asteria's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eastern Asteria's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000008 and 11.34, respectively. We have considered Eastern Asteria's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eastern Asteria pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eastern Asteria pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0677 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0035 |
Predictive Modules for Eastern Asteria
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastern Asteria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eastern Asteria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eastern Asteria After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eastern Asteria at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eastern Asteria or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Eastern Asteria, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eastern Asteria Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eastern Asteria's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eastern Asteria's historical news coverage. Eastern Asteria's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.34, respectively. We have considered Eastern Asteria's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eastern Asteria is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eastern Asteria is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eastern Asteria Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eastern Asteria is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eastern Asteria backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eastern Asteria, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 11.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0008 | 0.0009 | 10.65 |
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Eastern Asteria Hype Timeline
Eastern Asteria is currently traded for 0.0008. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eastern is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.85E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is estimated to be 10.65%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.62%. The volatility of related hype on Eastern Asteria is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Eastern Asteria currently holds 2.96 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.2, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Debt can assist Eastern Asteria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Eastern Asteria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Eastern Asteria sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Eastern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Eastern Asteria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern Asteria to cross-verify your projections.Eastern Asteria Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eastern Asteria's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eastern Asteria's future price movements. Getting to know how Eastern Asteria's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eastern Asteria may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HENGY | Hengdeli Holdings Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OPTI | Optec International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 24.12 | 0.09 | 40.00 | (31.25) | 124.76 | |
| TIPS | Tianrong Internet Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 22.03 | 0.13 | 75.00 | (45.00) | 177.44 | |
| PRSI | Portsmouth Square | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 17.00 | (10.12) | 51.90 | |
| TOYRF | ToysRUs ANZ Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BWMG | Brownies Marine Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.09 | 0.1 | 48.15 | (32.50) | 105.00 | |
| RNVT | Renovate Neighborhoods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 888.89 | |
| AHRO | Authentic Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.59 | 0.06 | 25.00 | (27.27) | 117.50 | |
| RVLCF | Rivalry Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.83 | 0.12 | 63.94 | (31.14) | 170.10 | |
| GGLT | Giant Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Eastern Asteria
For every potential investor in Eastern, whether a beginner or expert, Eastern Asteria's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eastern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eastern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eastern Asteria's price trends.Eastern Asteria Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eastern Asteria pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eastern Asteria could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastern Asteria by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eastern Asteria Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eastern Asteria pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eastern Asteria shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eastern Asteria pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Eastern Asteria entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.11 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.0E-4 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0001) |
Eastern Asteria Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eastern Asteria's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eastern Asteria's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastern pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.4 | |||
| Variance | 130.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 188.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 66.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (17.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Eastern Asteria
The number of cover stories for Eastern Asteria depends on current market conditions and Eastern Asteria's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eastern Asteria is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eastern Asteria's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Eastern Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Eastern Asteria's price analysis, check to measure Eastern Asteria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eastern Asteria is operating at the current time. Most of Eastern Asteria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eastern Asteria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eastern Asteria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eastern Asteria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.