EBay Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| EBAY Stock | USD 91.22 3.19 3.38% |
EBay Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of EBay's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EBay, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.054 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.391 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.47 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.85 | Wall Street Target Price 94.7333 |
Using EBay hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of eBay Inc from the perspective of EBay response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards EBay using EBay's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards EBay using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of EBay's stock price.
EBay Short Interest
An investor who is long EBay may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about EBay and may potentially protect profits, hedge EBay with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 84.0423 | Short Percent 0.0332 | Short Ratio 2.95 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.1 M | 50 Day MA 87.0804 |
EBay Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of eBay Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 93.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.70.eBay Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to EBay's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in EBay. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding EBay can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around eBay Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of EBay's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about EBay.
EBay Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
EBay's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of eBay Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if EBay's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that EBay stock will not fluctuate a lot when EBay's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of eBay Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 93.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.70. EBay after-hype prediction price | USD 91.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EBay to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current EBay contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that eBay Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With EBay trading at USD 91.22, that is roughly USD 0.0228 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating EBay's daily price movement you should consider acquiring eBay Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 EBay Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast EBay's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in EBay's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for EBay stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current EBay's open interest, investors have to compare it to EBay's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of EBay is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in EBay. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
EBay Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EBay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EBay using various technical indicators. When you analyze EBay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EBay Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of eBay Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 93.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16, mean absolute percentage error of 6.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EBay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EBay's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EBay Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EBay | EBay Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
EBay Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EBay's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EBay's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 92.33 and 95.56, respectively. We have considered EBay's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EBay stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EBay stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9971 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1589 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0249 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 131.6954 |
Predictive Modules for EBay
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as eBay Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EBay After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EBay at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EBay or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EBay, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EBay Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EBay's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EBay's historical news coverage. EBay's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.61 and 92.83, respectively. We have considered EBay's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EBay is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of eBay Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
EBay Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EBay is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EBay backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EBay, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.62 | 0.08 | 0.33 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
91.22 | 91.22 | 0.00 |
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EBay Hype Timeline
eBay Inc is currently traded for 91.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.33. EBay is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on EBay is about 97.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.55. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.89. eBay Inc last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 2376:1000 split on the 20th of July 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EBay to cross-verify your projections.EBay Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EBay's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EBay's future price movements. Getting to know how EBay's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EBay may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCL | Carnival | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.76 | 0.01 | 4.90 | (3.65) | 12.92 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.30) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.43 | (2.77) | 7.11 | |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.42 | (2.26) | 11.90 | |
| YUM | Yum Brands | (0.35) | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.07 | 2.49 | (1.68) | 11.71 | |
| CUK | Carnival Plc ADS | 0.19 | 10 per month | 2.43 | 0.06 | 4.60 | (3.72) | 20.84 | |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | (1.17) | 7 per month | 1.24 | 0.14 | 2.71 | (2.29) | 16.26 | |
| WSM | Williams Sonoma | 17.51 | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.03 | 3.63 | (2.83) | 7.84 | |
| CPRT | Copart Inc | 0.69 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.02 | (3.52) | 6.69 | |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.68 | (2.74) | 17.97 | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.22 | (2.81) | 18.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for EBay
For every potential investor in EBay, whether a beginner or expert, EBay's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EBay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EBay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EBay's price trends.EBay Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EBay stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EBay could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EBay by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EBay Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EBay stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EBay shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EBay stock market strength indicators, traders can identify eBay Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
EBay Risk Indicators
The analysis of EBay's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EBay's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ebay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EBay
The number of cover stories for EBay depends on current market conditions and EBay's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EBay is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EBay's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EBay Short Properties
EBay's future price predictability will typically decrease when EBay's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of eBay Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EBay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EBay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 501 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 B |
Additional Tools for EBay Stock Analysis
When running EBay's price analysis, check to measure EBay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EBay is operating at the current time. Most of EBay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EBay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EBay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EBay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.