Enterprise Bancorp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EBTCDelisted Stock  USD 39.64  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enterprise Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.79. Enterprise Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Enterprise Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Enterprise Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enterprise Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Enterprise Bancorp's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Enterprise Bancorp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Enterprise Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Enterprise Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Enterprise Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enterprise Bancorp from the perspective of Enterprise Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enterprise Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.79.

Enterprise Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Enterprise Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Enterprise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enterprise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enterprise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Enterprise Bancorp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Enterprise Bancorp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Enterprise Bancorp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enterprise Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enterprise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enterprise Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enterprise Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Enterprise BancorpEnterprise Bancorp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enterprise Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enterprise Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.606
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6195
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.016
SAESum of the absolute errors37.7865
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Enterprise Bancorp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Enterprise Bancorp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Enterprise Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enterprise Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enterprise Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.6439.6439.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.7032.7043.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.8339.4641.09
Details

Enterprise Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Enterprise Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enterprise Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enterprise Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Enterprise Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Enterprise Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enterprise Bancorp's historical news coverage. Enterprise Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.64 and 39.64, respectively. We have considered Enterprise Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.64
39.64
After-hype Price
39.64
Upside
Enterprise Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enterprise Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Enterprise Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enterprise Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enterprise Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enterprise Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.64
39.64
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Enterprise Bancorp Hype Timeline

Enterprise Bancorp is currently traded for 39.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Enterprise is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Enterprise Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.64. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.29. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Enterprise Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 3rd of July 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Enterprise Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Enterprise Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enterprise Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Enterprise Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enterprise Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMNBAmerican National Bankshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LBCLuther Burbank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GNTYGuaranty Bancshares 0.43 6 per month 1.37  0.06  3.13 (2.27) 8.97 
MCBCMacatawa Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CSTRCapstar Financial Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MBINMerchants Bancorp(1.74)8 per month 1.53  0.07  3.89 (2.87) 8.29 
TFINTriumph Financial(0.47)9 per month 1.75  0.13  5.29 (3.53) 16.33 
HTBHomeTrust Bancshares 0.96 8 per month 1.14  0.06  2.74 (2.30) 6.29 
SSBKSouthern States Bancshares 0.03 10 per month 2.36  0.04  3.36 (3.16) 19.89 
SMMFSummit Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Enterprise Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enterprise Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enterprise Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enterprise Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enterprise Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enterprise Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enterprise Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enterprise Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enterprise Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enterprise Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enterprise Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enterprise Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enterprise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Enterprise Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Enterprise Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Enterprise Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enterprise Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enterprise Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Enterprise Bancorp Short Properties

Enterprise Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Enterprise Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enterprise Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enterprise Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enterprise Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments97.5 M
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Enterprise Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Enterprise Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Enterprise Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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