Eagle Point Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ECCX Stock | USD 25.10 0.01 0.04% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eagle Point Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 25.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.12. Eagle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Eagle Point's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Eagle Point hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eagle Point Credit from the perspective of Eagle Point response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eagle Point Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 25.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.12. Eagle Point after-hype prediction price | USD 25.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eagle Point to cross-verify your projections. Eagle Point Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eagle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eagle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eagle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Eagle Point Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eagle Point Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 25.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eagle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eagle Point's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eagle Point Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Eagle Point | Eagle Point Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Eagle Point Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eagle Point's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eagle Point's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.47 and 25.73, respectively. We have considered Eagle Point's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eagle Point stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eagle Point stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.6093 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0157 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1038 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0042 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.125 |
Predictive Modules for Eagle Point
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Point Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Point's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eagle Point After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eagle Point at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eagle Point or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eagle Point, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eagle Point Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eagle Point's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eagle Point's historical news coverage. Eagle Point's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.47 and 25.73, respectively. We have considered Eagle Point's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eagle Point is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eagle Point Credit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eagle Point Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eagle Point is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eagle Point backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eagle Point, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 32 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.10 | 25.10 | 0.00 |
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Eagle Point Hype Timeline
Eagle Point Credit is currently traded for 25.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eagle is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eagle Point is about 677.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.10. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 32 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eagle Point to cross-verify your projections.Eagle Point Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eagle Point's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eagle Point's future price movements. Getting to know how Eagle Point's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eagle Point may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | (0.36) | 11 per month | 1.11 | 0.03 | 2.28 | (2.31) | 8.35 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.03 | 0.05 | 2.08 | (1.71) | 9.53 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.16 | (2.42) | 7.91 | |
| EIC | Eagle Pointome | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.45 | (2.07) | 5.65 | |
| CCAP | Crescent Capital BDC | 0.04 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.02 | 2.37 | (2.37) | 6.85 | |
| SOR | Source Capital Closed | (0.43) | 8 per month | 1.11 | (0.02) | 1.83 | (1.93) | 5.72 | |
| PSBD | Palmer Square Capital | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.04 | (0.07) | 1.90 | (1.76) | 7.22 | |
| SAR | Saratoga Investment Corp | (0.09) | 54 per month | 0.85 | 0.06 | 1.62 | (1.79) | 5.41 | |
| PFIS | Peoples Fin | (0.39) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.08 | 3.04 | (2.13) | 7.95 | |
| CION | Cion Investment Corp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.01 | 1.77 | (2.28) | 10.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Eagle Point
For every potential investor in Eagle, whether a beginner or expert, Eagle Point's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eagle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eagle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eagle Point's price trends.Eagle Point Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eagle Point stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eagle Point could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eagle Point by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eagle Point Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eagle Point stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eagle Point shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eagle Point stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eagle Point Credit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Eagle Point Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eagle Point's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eagle Point's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eagle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3988 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.553 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6037 | |||
| Variance | 0.3644 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5183 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3058 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Eagle Point
The number of cover stories for Eagle Point depends on current market conditions and Eagle Point's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eagle Point is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eagle Point's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Eagle Stock Analysis
When running Eagle Point's price analysis, check to measure Eagle Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Point is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.