Ecora Resources Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ECOR Stock   114.80  0.20  0.17%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ecora Resources PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 114.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.10. Ecora Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Ecora Resources' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ecora Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ecora Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ecora Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ecora Resources PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ecora Resources' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
25.65
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0672
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0831
Wall Street Target Price
134
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.68)
Using Ecora Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ecora Resources PLC from the perspective of Ecora Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ecora Resources PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 114.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.10.

Ecora Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 113.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ecora Resources to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Ecora Resources' Net Working Capital is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Ecora Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ecora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ecora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ecora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Ecora Resources is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Ecora Resources Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ecora Resources PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 114.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75, mean absolute percentage error of 4.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ecora Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ecora Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ecora Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ecora ResourcesEcora Resources Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ecora Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ecora Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ecora Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 112.62 and 116.98, respectively. We have considered Ecora Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
114.80
112.62
Downside
114.80
Expected Value
116.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ecora Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ecora Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0344
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6559
MADMean absolute deviation1.7475
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.018
SAESum of the absolute errors103.1
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Ecora Resources PLC price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Ecora Resources. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Ecora Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecora Resources PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.60113.78115.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.32126.46128.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
91.99106.03120.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.090.1
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ecora Resources

For every potential investor in Ecora, whether a beginner or expert, Ecora Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ecora Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ecora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ecora Resources' price trends.

Ecora Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ecora Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ecora Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ecora Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ecora Resources PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ecora Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ecora Resources' current price.

Ecora Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ecora Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ecora Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ecora Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ecora Resources PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ecora Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ecora Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ecora Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ecora stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Ecora Stock Analysis

When running Ecora Resources' price analysis, check to measure Ecora Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecora Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Ecora Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecora Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecora Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecora Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.