Enerflex Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| EFXT Stock | USD 16.46 0.27 1.61% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Enerflex on the next trading day is expected to be 16.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.33. Enerflex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Enerflex's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3522 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1445 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6332 | Wall Street Target Price 15.125 |
Using Enerflex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enerflex from the perspective of Enerflex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Enerflex using Enerflex's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Enerflex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Enerflex's stock price.
Enerflex Short Interest
An investor who is long Enerflex may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Enerflex and may potentially protect profits, hedge Enerflex with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.8349 | Short Ratio 4.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 386.3 K | 50 Day MA 11.48 | Shares Short 202.5 K |
Enerflex Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Enerflex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Enerflex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Enerflex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Enerflex. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Enerflex Implied Volatility | 1.0 |
Enerflex's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enerflex stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enerflex's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Enerflex stock will not fluctuate a lot when Enerflex's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Enerflex on the next trading day is expected to be 16.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.33. Enerflex after-hype prediction price | USD 16.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerflex to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Enerflex contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Enerflex will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Enerflex trading at USD 16.46, that is roughly USD 0.0103 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Enerflex's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Enerflex options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Enerflex Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Enerflex's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Enerflex's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Enerflex stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Enerflex's open interest, investors have to compare it to Enerflex's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Enerflex is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Enerflex. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Enerflex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enerflex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enerflex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enerflex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Enerflex Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Enerflex on the next trading day is expected to be 16.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enerflex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enerflex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Enerflex Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enerflex | Enerflex Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Enerflex Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Enerflex's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enerflex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.31 and 18.98, respectively. We have considered Enerflex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enerflex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enerflex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4381 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3441 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.3334 |
Predictive Modules for Enerflex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enerflex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enerflex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Enerflex After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enerflex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enerflex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enerflex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Enerflex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enerflex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enerflex's historical news coverage. Enerflex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.79 and 18.47, respectively. We have considered Enerflex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Enerflex is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enerflex is based on 3 months time horizon.
Enerflex Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enerflex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enerflex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enerflex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 2.34 | 0.33 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.46 | 16.13 | 2.00 |
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Enerflex Hype Timeline
Enerflex is currently traded for 16.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Enerflex is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Enerflex is about 11700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.45. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Enerflex last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enerflex to cross-verify your projections.Enerflex Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enerflex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enerflex's future price movements. Getting to know how Enerflex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enerflex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DNOW | Now Inc | (0.13) | 9 per month | 2.17 | (0.01) | 3.90 | (3.86) | 11.62 | |
| XPRO | Expro Group Holdings | 0.73 | 7 per month | 2.56 | 0.12 | 5.94 | (4.94) | 14.92 | |
| INVX | Innovex International | 0.33 | 9 per month | 1.57 | 0.18 | 5.81 | (2.95) | 12.82 | |
| FLOC | Flowco Holdings | (0.53) | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0.15 | 4.18 | (3.32) | 23.77 | |
| AESI | Atlas Energy Solutions | (0.22) | 9 per month | 4.64 | 0.04 | 5.73 | (4.57) | 32.91 | |
| GLP | Global Partners LP | (0.31) | 11 per month | 1.87 | (0.03) | 3.06 | (2.99) | 9.17 | |
| VTOL | Bristow Group | (0.14) | 10 per month | 2.21 | 0.05 | 4.49 | (3.48) | 12.30 | |
| NESR | National Energy Services | 0.12 | 7 per month | 1.56 | 0.29 | 7.21 | (2.98) | 22.01 | |
| FLNG | FLEX LNG | (0.06) | 7 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 2.55 | (2.05) | 8.17 | |
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.17 | 5.49 | (3.03) | 18.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enerflex
For every potential investor in Enerflex, whether a beginner or expert, Enerflex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enerflex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enerflex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enerflex's price trends.Enerflex Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enerflex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enerflex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enerflex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enerflex Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enerflex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enerflex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enerflex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enerflex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12297.69 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.69 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.27) |
Enerflex Risk Indicators
The analysis of Enerflex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enerflex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enerflex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Enerflex
The number of cover stories for Enerflex depends on current market conditions and Enerflex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enerflex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enerflex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Enerflex Short Properties
Enerflex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Enerflex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enerflex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enerflex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enerflex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92 M |
Additional Tools for Enerflex Stock Analysis
When running Enerflex's price analysis, check to measure Enerflex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enerflex is operating at the current time. Most of Enerflex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enerflex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enerflex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enerflex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.