EFZ Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| EFZDelisted Stock | USD 12.16 0.09 0.73% |
EFZ Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of EFZ's share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EFZ, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EFZ hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EFZ from the perspective of EFZ response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of EFZ on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.93. EFZ after-hype prediction price | EUR 12.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EFZ |
EFZ Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EFZ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EFZ using various technical indicators. When you analyze EFZ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EFZ Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of EFZ on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EFZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EFZ's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EFZ Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EFZ | EFZ Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EFZ Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EFZ's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EFZ's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.37 and 13.05, respectively. We have considered EFZ's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EFZ stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EFZ stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8088 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0956 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0074 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.9293 |
Predictive Modules for EFZ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EFZ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EFZ After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EFZ at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EFZ or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EFZ, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EFZ Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EFZ's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EFZ's historical news coverage. EFZ's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.32 and 13.00, respectively. We have considered EFZ's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EFZ is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EFZ is based on 3 months time horizon.
EFZ Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EFZ is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EFZ backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EFZ, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.16 | 12.16 | 0.00 |
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EFZ Hype Timeline
EFZ is currently traded for 12.16on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EFZ is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on EFZ is about 3000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.16. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EFZ to cross-verify your projections.EFZ Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EFZ's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EFZ's future price movements. Getting to know how EFZ's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EFZ may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EUM | ProShares Short MSCI | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.29 | (1.43) | 4.55 | |
| SKF | ProShares UltraShort Financials | (0.50) | 8 per month | 1.51 | (0.04) | 3.51 | (2.48) | 8.09 | |
| SEF | ProShares Short Financials | (0.41) | 3 per month | 0.76 | (0.08) | 1.77 | (1.24) | 4.12 | |
| UGE | ProShares Ultra Consumer | 0.41 | 1 per month | 1.22 | 0.03 | 2.53 | (2.05) | 5.63 | |
| EZJ | ProShares Ultra MSCI | (0.39) | 2 per month | 1.84 | 0.05 | 3.27 | (3.28) | 9.12 | |
| QQXL | ProShares Ultra QQQ | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.49 | (0.01) | 3.20 | (4.20) | 10.49 | |
| UPV | ProShares Ultra FTSE | (0.41) | 3 per month | 1.14 | 0.13 | 2.39 | (2.28) | 6.15 | |
| USML | ETRACS 2x Leveraged | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | (0.07) | 1.65 | (1.46) | 4.15 | |
| REK | ProShares Short Real | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.55 | (0.04) | 1.43 | (1.13) | 4.09 | |
| SETH | ProShares Trust | 1.12 | 4 per month | 4.08 | 0.08 | 7.86 | (7.46) | 18.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for EFZ
For every potential investor in EFZ, whether a beginner or expert, EFZ's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EFZ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EFZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EFZ's price trends.EFZ Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EFZ stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EFZ could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EFZ by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EFZ Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EFZ stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EFZ shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EFZ stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EFZ entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 111.13 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.80) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.21 |
EFZ Risk Indicators
The analysis of EFZ's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EFZ's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting efz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5299 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6857 | |||
| Variance | 0.4701 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EFZ
The number of cover stories for EFZ depends on current market conditions and EFZ's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EFZ is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EFZ's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EFZ to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Other Consideration for investing in EFZ Stock
If you are still planning to invest in EFZ check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the EFZ's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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