Ege Endustri Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Ege Endustri is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ege Endustri ve value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ege Endustri Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ege Endustri ve on the next trading day is expected to be 9,622 with a mean absolute deviation of 275.80, mean absolute percentage error of 119,802, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16,824.

Ege Endustri Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ege Endustri Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ege Endustri stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ege Endustri stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ege Endustri ve. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ege Endustri. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ege Endustri

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ege Endustri ve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 10,757 10,760 10,763 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 8,887 8,890 11,836 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 10,537 10,702 10,867 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ege Endustri

For every potential investor in Ege, whether a beginner or expert, Ege Endustri's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ege Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ege. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ege Endustri's price trends.

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Risk & Return

Correlation

Ege Endustri ve Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ege Endustri's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ege Endustri's current price.

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