EdgeTech International Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| EGIL Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EdgeTech International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000254 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. EdgeTech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The relative strength index (RSI) of EdgeTech International's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EdgeTech International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EdgeTech International from the perspective of EdgeTech International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EdgeTech International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000254 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. EdgeTech International after-hype prediction price | USD 9.4E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EdgeTech International to cross-verify your projections. EdgeTech International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EdgeTech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EdgeTech using various technical indicators. When you analyze EdgeTech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EdgeTech International Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EdgeTech International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000254, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EdgeTech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EdgeTech International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EdgeTech International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EdgeTech International | EdgeTech International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EdgeTech International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EdgeTech International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EdgeTech International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 127.00, respectively. We have considered EdgeTech International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EdgeTech International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EdgeTech International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 92.1597 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for EdgeTech International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EdgeTech International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EdgeTech International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EdgeTech International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EdgeTech International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EdgeTech International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EdgeTech International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EdgeTech International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EdgeTech International's historical news coverage. EdgeTech International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered EdgeTech International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EdgeTech International is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EdgeTech International is based on 3 months time horizon.
EdgeTech International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EdgeTech International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EdgeTech International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EdgeTech International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
16.13 | 127.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.000094 | 5.84 |
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EdgeTech International Hype Timeline
EdgeTech International is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EdgeTech is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.4E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.84%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 16.13%. The volatility of related hype on EdgeTech International is about 6.35E8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. EdgeTech International had 2:1 split on the 30th of May 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EdgeTech International to cross-verify your projections.EdgeTech International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EdgeTech International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EdgeTech International's future price movements. Getting to know how EdgeTech International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EdgeTech International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CKYS | CyberKey Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCNTQ | Scient Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FBCE | FiberCore | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RBTI | Red Branch Technologies | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCTN | Schimatic Cash Transactions | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ORSX | Orsus Xelent Technologies | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SQCC | Square Chain Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NTEK | NanoTech Entertainment | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UTRK | Universal Tracking Solutions | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HLOC | World Technology Corp | (0.0002) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 33.33 | 0.00 | 1,496 |
Other Forecasting Options for EdgeTech International
For every potential investor in EdgeTech, whether a beginner or expert, EdgeTech International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EdgeTech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EdgeTech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EdgeTech International's price trends.EdgeTech International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EdgeTech International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EdgeTech International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EdgeTech International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EdgeTech International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EdgeTech International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EdgeTech International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EdgeTech International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EdgeTech International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 100.0 |
Story Coverage note for EdgeTech International
The number of cover stories for EdgeTech International depends on current market conditions and EdgeTech International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EdgeTech International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EdgeTech International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EdgeTech International to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy EdgeTech Stock please use our How to buy in EdgeTech Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Communication Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EdgeTech International. If investors know EdgeTech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EdgeTech International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of EdgeTech International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EdgeTech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EdgeTech International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EdgeTech International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EdgeTech International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EdgeTech International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EdgeTech International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EdgeTech International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EdgeTech International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.