Elamex SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ELAMF Stock  USD 2.15  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Elamex SA de on the next trading day is expected to be 2.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Elamex Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Elamex SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Elamex SA polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Elamex SA de as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Elamex SA Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Elamex SA de on the next trading day is expected to be 2.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Elamex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Elamex SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Elamex SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Elamex SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Elamex SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Elamex SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.15 and 2.15, respectively. We have considered Elamex SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.15
2.15
Expected Value
2.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Elamex SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Elamex SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria53.982
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Elamex SA historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Elamex SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elamex SA de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.152.152.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.152.152.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Elamex SA

For every potential investor in Elamex, whether a beginner or expert, Elamex SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elamex Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elamex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elamex SA's price trends.

Elamex SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elamex SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elamex SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elamex SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Elamex SA de Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Elamex SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Elamex SA's current price.

Elamex SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elamex SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elamex SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elamex SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Elamex SA de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Elamex Pink Sheet

Elamex SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elamex Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elamex with respect to the benefits of owning Elamex SA security.