Elevation Oncology Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ELEV Stock | USD 0.60 0.01 1.64% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Elevation Oncology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.33. Elevation Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Elevation |
Elevation Oncology Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Elevation Oncology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Elevation Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Elevation Oncology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Elevation Oncology Stock Forecast Pattern
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Elevation Oncology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Elevation Oncology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Elevation Oncology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.12, respectively. We have considered Elevation Oncology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Elevation Oncology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Elevation Oncology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0226 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0386 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3307 |
Predictive Modules for Elevation Oncology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elevation Oncology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Elevation Oncology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Elevation Oncology
For every potential investor in Elevation, whether a beginner or expert, Elevation Oncology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elevation Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elevation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elevation Oncology's price trends.Elevation Oncology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elevation Oncology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elevation Oncology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elevation Oncology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Elevation Oncology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Elevation Oncology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Elevation Oncology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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Elevation Oncology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elevation Oncology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elevation Oncology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elevation Oncology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Elevation Oncology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Elevation Oncology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Elevation Oncology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elevation Oncology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elevation stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.5 | |||
| Variance | 20.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Elevation Stock Analysis
When running Elevation Oncology's price analysis, check to measure Elevation Oncology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elevation Oncology is operating at the current time. Most of Elevation Oncology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elevation Oncology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elevation Oncology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elevation Oncology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.