Elon AB Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ELON Stock   18.00  0.75  4.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Elon AB on the next trading day is expected to be 18.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.49. Elon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Elon AB's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Elon AB's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Elon AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Elon AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Elon AB from the perspective of Elon AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Elon AB on the next trading day is expected to be 18.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.49.

Elon AB after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 18.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Elon AB to cross-verify your projections.

Elon AB Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Elon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Elon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Elon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Elon AB is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Elon AB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Elon AB Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Elon AB on the next trading day is expected to be 18.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Elon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Elon AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Elon AB Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Elon ABElon AB Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Elon AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Elon AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Elon AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.67 and 20.34, respectively. We have considered Elon AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.00
18.50
Expected Value
20.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Elon AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Elon AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3046
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2175
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors13.4851
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Elon AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Elon AB. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Elon AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elon AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1718.0019.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1716.0019.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.0216.8517.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Elon AB

For every potential investor in Elon, whether a beginner or expert, Elon AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elon AB's price trends.

Elon AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elon AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elon AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elon AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Elon AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Elon AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Elon AB's current price.

Elon AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elon AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elon AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elon AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Elon AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Elon AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Elon AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elon AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Elon Stock Analysis

When running Elon AB's price analysis, check to measure Elon AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elon AB is operating at the current time. Most of Elon AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elon AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elon AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elon AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.