Companhia Paranaense Stock Forward View
| ELPDelisted Stock | USD 9.27 0.38 3.94% |
Companhia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Companhia Paranaense's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Companhia Paranaense, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Companhia Paranaense hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Paranaense De from the perspective of Companhia Paranaense response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Companhia Paranaense De on the next trading day is expected to be 8.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.97. Companhia Paranaense after-hype prediction price | USD 9.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Companhia |
Companhia Paranaense Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Companhia Paranaense Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Companhia Paranaense De on the next trading day is expected to be 8.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Companhia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Companhia Paranaense's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Companhia Paranaense Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Companhia Paranaense | Companhia Paranaense Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Companhia Paranaense stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Companhia Paranaense stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7637 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.147 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.9688 |
Predictive Modules for Companhia Paranaense
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Paranaense. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Companhia Paranaense After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Companhia Paranaense at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Companhia Paranaense or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Companhia Paranaense, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Companhia Paranaense Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Companhia Paranaense's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Companhia Paranaense's historical news coverage. Companhia Paranaense's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.93 and 11.41, respectively. We have considered Companhia Paranaense's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Companhia Paranaense is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Companhia Paranaense is based on 3 months time horizon.
Companhia Paranaense Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Companhia Paranaense is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Companhia Paranaense backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Companhia Paranaense, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.24 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 21 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 21 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.27 | 9.17 | 1.08 |
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Companhia Paranaense Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Companhia Paranaense is traded for 9.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Companhia is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Companhia Paranaense is about 2100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.26. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Companhia Paranaense last dividend was issued on the 24th of December 2025. The entity had 5:4 split on the 29th of December 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 21 days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.Companhia Paranaense Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Companhia Paranaense's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Companhia Paranaense's future price movements. Getting to know how Companhia Paranaense's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Companhia Paranaense may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BIP | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | 0.35 | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.06 | 1.61 | (1.59) | 5.53 | |
| CIG-C | Energy of Minas | (0.03) | 7 per month | 1.99 | 0.07 | 4.09 | (3.09) | 12.96 | |
| CIG | Companhia Energetica de | (0.01) | 6 per month | 2.08 | 0.06 | 3.00 | (3.20) | 9.11 | |
| AES | The AES | (0.19) | 12 per month | 1.52 | 0.01 | 3.11 | (2.49) | 8.85 | |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | (0.18) | 7 per month | 0.71 | 0.18 | 2.42 | (1.21) | 10.28 | |
| OGE | OGE Energy | 0.50 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.36 | (1.77) | 3.57 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.42 | (1.60) | 4.65 | |
| BKH | Black Hills | (0.69) | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.1 | 2.01 | (2.07) | 7.24 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.27 | (1.56) | 5.00 |
Companhia Paranaense Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Companhia Paranaense stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Companhia Paranaense could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Companhia Paranaense by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Companhia Paranaense Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Companhia Paranaense stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Companhia Paranaense shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Companhia Paranaense stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Companhia Paranaense De entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Companhia Paranaense Risk Indicators
The analysis of Companhia Paranaense's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Companhia Paranaense's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting companhia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Companhia Paranaense
The number of cover stories for Companhia Paranaense depends on current market conditions and Companhia Paranaense's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Companhia Paranaense is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Companhia Paranaense's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Companhia Paranaense Short Properties
Companhia Paranaense's future price predictability will typically decrease when Companhia Paranaense's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Companhia Paranaense De often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Companhia Paranaense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Paranaense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 745.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 B |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Companhia Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Companhia Paranaense check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Companhia Paranaense's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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