Elopak ASA Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

ELPKF Stock  USD 2.81  0.00  0.00%   
Elopak Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Elopak ASA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Elopak ASA's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Elopak ASA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Elopak ASA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Elopak ASA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Elopak ASA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Elopak ASA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Elopak ASA from the perspective of Elopak ASA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Elopak ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Elopak ASA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Elopak ASA to cross-verify your projections.

Elopak ASA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Elopak price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Elopak using various technical indicators. When you analyze Elopak charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Elopak ASA is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Elopak ASA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Elopak ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Elopak Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Elopak ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Elopak ASA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Elopak ASA  Elopak ASA Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Elopak ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Elopak ASA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Elopak ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.81 and 2.81, respectively. We have considered Elopak ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.81
2.81
Expected Value
2.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Elopak ASA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Elopak ASA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Elopak ASA price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Elopak ASA. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Elopak ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elopak ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.812.812.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.812.812.81
Details

Elopak ASA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Elopak ASA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Elopak ASA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Elopak ASA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Elopak ASA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Elopak ASA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Elopak ASA's historical news coverage. Elopak ASA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.81 and 2.81, respectively. We have considered Elopak ASA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.81
2.81
After-hype Price
2.81
Upside
Elopak ASA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Elopak ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Elopak ASA Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Elopak ASA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Elopak ASA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Elopak ASA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.81
2.81
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Elopak ASA Hype Timeline

Elopak ASA is currently traded for 2.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Elopak is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Elopak ASA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.81. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Elopak ASA last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Elopak ASA to cross-verify your projections.

Elopak ASA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Elopak ASA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Elopak ASA's future price movements. Getting to know how Elopak ASA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Elopak ASA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WOSGFWatches of Switzerland 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.11  4.53 (2.86) 14.51 
MGLUYMagazine Luiza SA 0.00 0 per month 2.68  0.08  9.06 (5.62) 25.81 
PAHGFPets at Home 0.00 0 per month 5.02  0.02  14.83 (10.14) 35.28 
CLPIFCompagnie des Alpes 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DRMMFDream International Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CTVIFChina Travel International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  0.00  81.03 
HOVHovnanian Enterprises(1.97)10 per month 4.68  0.01  7.93 (5.13) 34.59 
ELORYElior Group SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CVSGFCVS Group Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.00  0.00  8.06 
NFYEFNFI Group 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.12  4.79 (2.40) 17.19 

Other Forecasting Options for Elopak ASA

For every potential investor in Elopak, whether a beginner or expert, Elopak ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elopak Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elopak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elopak ASA's price trends.

Elopak ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elopak ASA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elopak ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elopak ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Elopak ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elopak ASA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elopak ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elopak ASA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Elopak ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Elopak ASA

The number of cover stories for Elopak ASA depends on current market conditions and Elopak ASA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Elopak ASA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Elopak ASA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Elopak Pink Sheet

Elopak ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elopak Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elopak with respect to the benefits of owning Elopak ASA security.