Electronic Systems Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ELST Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Electronic Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Electronic Systems' share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Electronic Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Electronic Systems Technology from the perspective of Electronic Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electronic Systems Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03. Electronic Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Electronic |
Electronic Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Electronic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Electronic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Electronic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Electronic Systems Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Electronic Systems Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000351, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Electronic Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Electronic Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Electronic Systems Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Electronic Systems | Electronic Systems Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Electronic Systems Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Electronic Systems' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Electronic Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 7.15, respectively. We have considered Electronic Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Electronic Systems pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Electronic Systems pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.025 |
Predictive Modules for Electronic Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electronic Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electronic Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Electronic Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Electronic Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Electronic Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Electronic Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Electronic Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Electronic Systems' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Electronic Systems' historical news coverage. Electronic Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.15, respectively. We have considered Electronic Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Electronic Systems is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Electronic Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Electronic Systems Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Electronic Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Electronic Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Electronic Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 7.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.02 | 0.02 | 25.00 |
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Electronic Systems Hype Timeline
Electronic Systems is currently traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Electronic is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Electronic Systems is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. Electronic Systems Technology currently holds 9.89 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Electronic Systems has a current ratio of 20.62, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Electronic Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Electronic Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Electronic Systems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Electronic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Electronic Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Electronic Systems to cross-verify your projections.Electronic Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Electronic Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Electronic Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Electronic Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Electronic Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERFB | Erf Wireless | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ATDS | Data443 Risk Mitigation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.11 | 0.02 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 83.33 | |
| GLBH | Globaltech Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OGBLY | Onion Global Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.60 | |
| ICLD | InterCloud Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PDXP | PDX Partners | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APQT | Appliqate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HLLPF | Hello Pal International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 200.00 | (50.00) | 1,995 | |
| CLTS | Earth Life Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CPQQ | China Power Equipment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Electronic Systems
For every potential investor in Electronic, whether a beginner or expert, Electronic Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Electronic Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Electronic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Electronic Systems' price trends.Electronic Systems Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Electronic Systems pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Electronic Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Electronic Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Electronic Systems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Electronic Systems pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Electronic Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Electronic Systems pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Electronic Systems Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Electronic Systems Risk Indicators
The analysis of Electronic Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Electronic Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting electronic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.03 | |||
| Variance | 144.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Electronic Systems
The number of cover stories for Electronic Systems depends on current market conditions and Electronic Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Electronic Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Electronic Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Electronic Systems Short Properties
Electronic Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Electronic Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Electronic Systems Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Electronic Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electronic Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Additional Tools for Electronic Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Electronic Systems' price analysis, check to measure Electronic Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Electronic Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Electronic Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Electronic Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Electronic Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Electronic Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.