Eliem Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ELYMDelisted Stock  USD 3.00  0.08  2.60%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eliem Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.42. Eliem Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Eliem Therapeutics is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Eliem Therapeutics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eliem Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eliem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eliem Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eliem Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Eliem Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eliem Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eliem Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.49, respectively. We have considered Eliem Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.00
3.00
Expected Value
8.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eliem Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eliem Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6038
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1046
MADMean absolute deviation0.2614
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.051
SAESum of the absolute errors15.42
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Eliem Therapeutics price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Eliem Therapeutics. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Eliem Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eliem Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eliem Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.248.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.858.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eliem Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Eliem, whether a beginner or expert, Eliem Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eliem Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eliem. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eliem Therapeutics' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eliem Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eliem Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eliem Therapeutics' current price.

Eliem Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eliem Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eliem Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eliem Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eliem Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eliem Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eliem Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eliem Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eliem stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eliem Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
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Other Consideration for investing in Eliem Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Eliem Therapeutics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Eliem Therapeutics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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