Hamilton Energy Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

EMAX Etf   16.21  0.26  1.58%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hamilton Energy Yield on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.10. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Hamilton Energy's etf prices and determine the direction of Hamilton Energy Yield's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Hamilton Energy works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Hamilton Energy Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hamilton Energy Yield on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hamilton Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hamilton Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hamilton Energy Etf Forecast Pattern

Hamilton Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hamilton Energy's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hamilton Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.98 and 17.52, respectively. We have considered Hamilton Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.21
16.25
Expected Value
17.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hamilton Energy etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hamilton Energy etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0256
MADMean absolute deviation0.1542
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0099
SAESum of the absolute errors9.0953
When Hamilton Energy Yield prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Hamilton Energy Yield trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Hamilton Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Hamilton Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hamilton Energy Yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Hamilton Energy

For every potential investor in Hamilton, whether a beginner or expert, Hamilton Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hamilton Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hamilton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hamilton Energy's price trends.

Hamilton Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hamilton Energy etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hamilton Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hamilton Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hamilton Energy Yield Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hamilton Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hamilton Energy's current price.

Hamilton Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hamilton Energy etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hamilton Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hamilton Energy etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Hamilton Energy Yield entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hamilton Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hamilton Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hamilton Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hamilton etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hamilton Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hamilton Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hamilton Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hamilton Etf

  0.71XIU iShares SPTSX 60PairCorr
  0.73XSP iShares Core SPPairCorr
  0.71XIC iShares Core SPTSXPairCorr

Moving against Hamilton Etf

  0.72TCLB TD Canadian LongPairCorr
  0.62ZAG BMO Aggregate BondPairCorr
  0.61XBB iShares Canadian UniversePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hamilton Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hamilton Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hamilton Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hamilton Energy Yield to buy it.
The correlation of Hamilton Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hamilton Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hamilton Energy Yield moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hamilton Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching