5N Plus Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| EMB Stock | 18.18 0.60 3.19% |
EMB Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of 5N Plus' share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 94
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.957 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.439 |
Using 5N Plus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 5N Plus from the perspective of 5N Plus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of 5N Plus on the next trading day is expected to be 17.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.65. 5N Plus after-hype prediction price | EUR 18.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EMB |
5N Plus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EMB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EMB using various technical indicators. When you analyze EMB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
5N Plus Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of 5N Plus on the next trading day is expected to be 17.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 1.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EMB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 5N Plus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
5N Plus Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest 5N Plus | 5N Plus Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
5N Plus Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 5N Plus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 5N Plus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.95 and 21.60, respectively. We have considered 5N Plus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 5N Plus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 5N Plus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6729 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1253 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0872 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.6453 |
Predictive Modules for 5N Plus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 5N Plus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 5N Plus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
5N Plus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 5N Plus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 5N Plus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 5N Plus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
5N Plus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 5N Plus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 5N Plus' historical news coverage. 5N Plus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.06 and 22.70, respectively. We have considered 5N Plus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5N Plus is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 5N Plus is based on 3 months time horizon.
5N Plus Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 5N Plus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 5N Plus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 5N Plus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.76 | 3.82 | 0.70 | 0.61 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.18 | 18.88 | 3.85 |
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5N Plus Hype Timeline
5N Plus is currently traded for 18.18on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.7, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.61. EMB is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 3.85%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.76%. The volatility of related hype on 5N Plus is about 477.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.57. 5N Plus has accumulated 1.23 M in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 5N Plus to cross-verify your projections.5N Plus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 5N Plus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 5N Plus' future price movements. Getting to know how 5N Plus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 5N Plus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RHO | ROCHE HLDG | (2.20) | 4 per month | 1.38 | 0.13 | 2.31 | (2.20) | 8.07 | |
| ABL | Abbott Laboratories | 3.76 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.95 | (1.76) | 14.56 | |
| DAP | DANAHER | (3.40) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.32 | (2.98) | 8.54 | |
| QCI | QUALCOMM | (5.46) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.90 | (2.57) | 12.93 | |
| 6MK | Merck Co | 0.10 | 6 per month | 1.41 | 0.15 | 2.96 | (2.35) | 8.41 | |
| NOT | NOVARTIS N | (1.35) | 1 per month | 0.25 | 0.27 | 2.70 | (1.29) | 5.41 | |
| NOT | NOVARTIS N | 1.18 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.34 | 2.10 | (1.01) | 4.95 | |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | (1.80) | 8 per month | 3.77 | (0.02) | 6.33 | (5.07) | 24.55 | |
| 4I1 | Philip Morris International | 1.16 | 4 per month | 1.21 | 0.12 | 2.65 | (2.55) | 7.67 | |
| W8V | BANK OF CHINA | 0.01 | 4 per month | 2.70 | (0.01) | 2.08 | (2.04) | 24.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for 5N Plus
For every potential investor in EMB, whether a beginner or expert, 5N Plus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EMB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EMB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 5N Plus' price trends.5N Plus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 5N Plus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 5N Plus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 5N Plus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
5N Plus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 5N Plus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 5N Plus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 5N Plus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 5N Plus entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
5N Plus Risk Indicators
The analysis of 5N Plus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 5N Plus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting emb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Variance | 13.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 5N Plus
The number of cover stories for 5N Plus depends on current market conditions and 5N Plus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 5N Plus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 5N Plus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for EMB Stock Analysis
When running 5N Plus' price analysis, check to measure 5N Plus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 5N Plus is operating at the current time. Most of 5N Plus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 5N Plus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 5N Plus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 5N Plus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.