Global X ETF Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| EMC ETF | 37.50 0.80 2.18% |
This 4 Period Moving Average projection for Global X is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Global X at 37.23 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Global X at 37.23 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 36.04 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Global X's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
ETF Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Global X | Global X Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Global X frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The current forecast range spans downside near 35.38 and upside near 39.08. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Global X ETF. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2936 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1543 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6322 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.0375 |
Other Forecasting Options for Global X
The autocorrelation structure of Global X's daily returns reveals whether Global X exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements distinguishes persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Global X ETF price data.Global X Comparable Funds
The related funds below provide a category-based comparison set for Global X's. Funds are typically compared on holdings mix, category returns, risk measures, and implementation cost rather than on operating-company margins. A fund that looks different from peers may simply be following a distinct exposure or payout strategy. This makes the peer set a useful category benchmark for Global X.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global X Market Strength Events
Rate of Change and Momentum readings for Global X measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in Global X have behaved.
Global X Risk Indicators
Standard deviation and variance for Global X measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that Global X's price path has been less predictable over the measured period.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
More Resources for Global X ETF Analysis
Understanding Global X Emerging includes distinguishing between market price and NAV, where NAV reflects Global X portfolio value. Valuation of Global X reflects how well the fund tracks its benchmark and the cost of holding it over time.
It is useful to distinguish Global X's trading price from its NAV, since each reflects a different perspective. Context can include expense ratio, holdings concentration, performance attribution, and liquidity measures.