EML Payments Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EMCHF Stock  USD 0.59  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EML Payments Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05. EML Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EML Payments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
EML Payments simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for EML Payments Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as EML Payments Limited prices get older.

EML Payments Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EML Payments Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EML Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EML Payments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EML Payments Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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EML Payments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EML Payments' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EML Payments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 1.57, respectively. We have considered EML Payments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.59
0.59
Expected Value
1.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EML Payments pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EML Payments pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.1868
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation8.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0014
SAESum of the absolute errors0.05
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting EML Payments Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent EML Payments observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for EML Payments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EML Payments Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.591.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.511.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EML Payments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EML Payments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EML Payments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EML Payments Limited.

Other Forecasting Options for EML Payments

For every potential investor in EML, whether a beginner or expert, EML Payments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EML Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EML. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EML Payments' price trends.

EML Payments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EML Payments pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EML Payments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EML Payments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EML Payments Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EML Payments' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EML Payments' current price.

EML Payments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EML Payments pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EML Payments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EML Payments pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify EML Payments Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EML Payments Risk Indicators

The analysis of EML Payments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EML Payments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eml pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in EML Pink Sheet

EML Payments financial ratios help investors to determine whether EML Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EML with respect to the benefits of owning EML Payments security.