Emmaus Life OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| EMMA Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Emmaus OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Emmaus Life stock prices and determine the direction of Emmaus Life Sciences's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Emmaus Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Emmaus Life's share price is at 58 suggesting that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Emmaus Life, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Emmaus Life based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Emmaus Life hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Emmaus Life Sciences from the perspective of Emmaus Life response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Emmaus Life Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Emmaus Life after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0149 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Emmaus |
Emmaus Life Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Emmaus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Emmaus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Emmaus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Emmaus Life Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Emmaus Life Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000088, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Emmaus OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Emmaus Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Emmaus Life OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Emmaus Life | Emmaus Life Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Emmaus Life Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Emmaus Life's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Emmaus Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 10.39, respectively. We have considered Emmaus Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Emmaus Life otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Emmaus Life otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.1664 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0627 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0427 |
Predictive Modules for Emmaus Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emmaus Life Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Emmaus Life After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Emmaus Life at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Emmaus Life or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Emmaus Life, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Emmaus Life Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Emmaus Life's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Emmaus Life's historical news coverage. Emmaus Life's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 10.39, respectively. We have considered Emmaus Life's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Emmaus Life is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Emmaus Life Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
Emmaus Life OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Emmaus Life is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Emmaus Life backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Emmaus Life, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.98 | 10.38 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 6.44 |
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Emmaus Life Hype Timeline
Emmaus Life Sciences is currently traded for 0.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Emmaus is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0149 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 6.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.98%. The volatility of related hype on Emmaus Life is about 47834.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.01. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.14) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.65) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.65. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Emmaus Life to cross-verify your projections.Emmaus Life Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Emmaus Life's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Emmaus Life's future price movements. Getting to know how Emmaus Life's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Emmaus Life may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SQZB | SQZ Biotechnologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3.45 | (3.33) | 50.43 | |
| ORGS | Orgenesis | (0.15) | 1 per month | 30.40 | 0.24 | 341.18 | (75.71) | 512.08 | |
| BPTH | Bio Path Holdings | (0.06) | 3 per month | 7.37 | 0.01 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 50.79 | |
| YECO | Yulong Eco Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.46 | |
| NRXCF | NeutriSci International | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VPRO | Viropro | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PHCG | Pure Harvest Cannabis | (0.01) | 2 per month | 10.56 | 0.10 | 28.57 | (22.22) | 122.22 | |
| HXBM | Helix BioMedix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.00 | (3.23) | 25.93 | |
| VIBEF | Vibe Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.21 | 0.01 | 15.00 | (11.11) | 61.59 | |
| NPHC | Nutra Pharma Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 19.55 | 0.20 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 266.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Emmaus Life
For every potential investor in Emmaus, whether a beginner or expert, Emmaus Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Emmaus OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Emmaus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Emmaus Life's price trends.Emmaus Life Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Emmaus Life otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Emmaus Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emmaus Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Emmaus Life Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Emmaus Life otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Emmaus Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Emmaus Life otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Emmaus Life Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Emmaus Life Risk Indicators
The analysis of Emmaus Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Emmaus Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting emmaus otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.05 | |||
| Variance | 101.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 111.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 36.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Emmaus Life
The number of cover stories for Emmaus Life depends on current market conditions and Emmaus Life's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Emmaus Life is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Emmaus Life's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Emmaus Life Short Properties
Emmaus Life's future price predictability will typically decrease when Emmaus Life's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Emmaus Life Sciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Emmaus Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Emmaus Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Emmaus OTC Stock
Emmaus Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Emmaus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Emmaus with respect to the benefits of owning Emmaus Life security.