Healixa Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EMOR Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  20.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Healixa on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34. Healixa Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Healixa simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Healixa are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Healixa prices get older.

Healixa Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Healixa on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000071, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Healixa Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Healixa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Healixa Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Healixa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Healixa's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Healixa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 14.36, respectively. We have considered Healixa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.06
0.0006
Downside
0.06
Expected Value
14.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Healixa pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Healixa pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.7215
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.002
MADMean absolute deviation0.0056
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0875
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3384
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Healixa forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Healixa observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Healixa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healixa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0514.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0714.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Healixa

For every potential investor in Healixa, whether a beginner or expert, Healixa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Healixa Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Healixa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Healixa's price trends.

View Healixa Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Healixa Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Healixa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Healixa's current price.

Healixa Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Healixa pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Healixa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Healixa pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Healixa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Healixa Risk Indicators

The analysis of Healixa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Healixa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting healixa pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Healixa

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Healixa position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Healixa will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Healixa Pink Sheet

  0.61MTHRF M3 IncPairCorr
  0.61HQY HealthEquityPairCorr
  0.6BAC Bank of America Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.46DOCS DoximityPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Healixa could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Healixa when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Healixa - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Healixa to buy it.
The correlation of Healixa is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Healixa moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Healixa moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Healixa can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Healixa Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Healixa's price analysis, check to measure Healixa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healixa is operating at the current time. Most of Healixa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healixa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healixa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healixa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.