Entergy Mississippi Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EMP Stock  USD 20.97  0.03  0.14%   
Entergy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Entergy Mississippi's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Entergy Mississippi, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Entergy Mississippi's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Entergy Mississippi LLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Entergy Mississippi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Entergy Mississippi LLC from the perspective of Entergy Mississippi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Entergy Mississippi LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 21.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27.

Entergy Mississippi after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entergy Mississippi to cross-verify your projections.

Entergy Mississippi Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Entergy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Entergy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Entergy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Entergy Mississippi is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Entergy Mississippi LLC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Entergy Mississippi Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Entergy Mississippi LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 21.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entergy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entergy Mississippi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Entergy Mississippi Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Entergy Mississippi  Entergy Mississippi Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Entergy Mississippi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Entergy Mississippi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entergy Mississippi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.64 and 21.52, respectively. We have considered Entergy Mississippi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.97
21.08
Expected Value
21.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entergy Mississippi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entergy Mississippi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6361
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0863
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0041
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2665
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Entergy Mississippi LLC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Entergy Mississippi. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Entergy Mississippi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entergy Mississippi LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5320.9721.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7618.2023.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.5320.7821.03
Details

Entergy Mississippi After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Entergy Mississippi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Entergy Mississippi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Entergy Mississippi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Entergy Mississippi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Entergy Mississippi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Entergy Mississippi's historical news coverage. Entergy Mississippi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.53 and 21.41, respectively. We have considered Entergy Mississippi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.97
20.97
After-hype Price
21.41
Upside
Entergy Mississippi is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Entergy Mississippi LLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Entergy Mississippi Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Entergy Mississippi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Entergy Mississippi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Entergy Mississippi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
0.44
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.97
20.97
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Entergy Mississippi Hype Timeline

On the 27th of January Entergy Mississippi LLC is traded for 20.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Entergy is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Entergy Mississippi is about 9900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.97. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entergy Mississippi to cross-verify your projections.

Entergy Mississippi Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Entergy Mississippi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Entergy Mississippi's future price movements. Getting to know how Entergy Mississippi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Entergy Mississippi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ENOEntergy New Orleans 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.94 (1.15) 3.40 
GPJAGeorgia Power Co 0.00 0 per month 0.52 (0.15) 0.85 (0.88) 1.82 
RGCORGC Resources 0.00 0 per month 1.28 (0.02) 3.00 (2.01) 9.60 
VIASPVia Renewables 0.00 0 per month 0.27 (0.10) 0.64 (0.60) 2.04 
VGASVerde Clean Fuels(0.04)7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 6.11 (8.24) 17.48 
ELLOEllomay Capital 0.00 0 per month 1.85  0.15  7.54 (3.37) 18.68 
PCYOPure Cycle 0.00 0 per month 1.24  0.04  3.36 (1.78) 6.82 
OPALOPAL Fuels 0.00 0 per month 5.39  0.01  10.89 (10.04) 23.34 
GWRSGlobal Water Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.21 (3.48) 9.15 

Other Forecasting Options for Entergy Mississippi

For every potential investor in Entergy, whether a beginner or expert, Entergy Mississippi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entergy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entergy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entergy Mississippi's price trends.

Entergy Mississippi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entergy Mississippi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entergy Mississippi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entergy Mississippi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Entergy Mississippi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entergy Mississippi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entergy Mississippi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entergy Mississippi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Entergy Mississippi LLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Entergy Mississippi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Entergy Mississippi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entergy Mississippi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entergy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Entergy Mississippi

The number of cover stories for Entergy Mississippi depends on current market conditions and Entergy Mississippi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Entergy Mississippi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Entergy Mississippi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Entergy Mississippi Short Properties

Entergy Mississippi's future price predictability will typically decrease when Entergy Mississippi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Entergy Mississippi LLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Entergy Mississippi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Entergy Mississippi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding431.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments155.7 M

Additional Tools for Entergy Stock Analysis

When running Entergy Mississippi's price analysis, check to measure Entergy Mississippi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Entergy Mississippi is operating at the current time. Most of Entergy Mississippi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Entergy Mississippi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Entergy Mississippi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Entergy Mississippi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.