EMS CHEMIE Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EMSHF Stock | USD 772.34 69.50 9.89% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EMS CHEMIE HOLDING AG on the next trading day is expected to be 772.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.44. EMS Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EMS CHEMIE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of EMS CHEMIE's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EMS CHEMIE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EMS CHEMIE HOLDING AG from the perspective of EMS CHEMIE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EMS CHEMIE HOLDING AG on the next trading day is expected to be 772.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.44. EMS CHEMIE after-hype prediction price | USD 772.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EMS |
EMS CHEMIE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EMS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EMS using various technical indicators. When you analyze EMS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EMS CHEMIE Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EMS CHEMIE HOLDING AG on the next trading day is expected to be 772.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19, mean absolute percentage error of 144.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EMS Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EMS CHEMIE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EMS CHEMIE Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EMS CHEMIE | EMS CHEMIE Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EMS CHEMIE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EMS CHEMIE's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EMS CHEMIE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 770.68 and 774.00, respectively. We have considered EMS CHEMIE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EMS CHEMIE pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EMS CHEMIE pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2455 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.126 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1907 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.003 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 131.44 |
Predictive Modules for EMS CHEMIE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EMS CHEMIE HOLDING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EMS CHEMIE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EMS CHEMIE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EMS CHEMIE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of EMS CHEMIE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EMS CHEMIE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EMS CHEMIE's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EMS CHEMIE's historical news coverage. EMS CHEMIE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 770.68 and 774.00, respectively. We have considered EMS CHEMIE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EMS CHEMIE is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EMS CHEMIE HOLDING is based on 3 months time horizon.
EMS CHEMIE Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EMS CHEMIE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EMS CHEMIE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EMS CHEMIE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
772.34 | 772.34 | 0.00 |
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EMS CHEMIE Hype Timeline
EMS CHEMIE HOLDING is currently traded for 772.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EMS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on EMS CHEMIE is about 4368.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 772.34. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 25.86. EMS CHEMIE HOLDING last dividend was issued on the 16th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EMS CHEMIE to cross-verify your projections.EMS CHEMIE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EMS CHEMIE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EMS CHEMIE's future price movements. Getting to know how EMS CHEMIE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EMS CHEMIE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NDEKF | Nitto Denko | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.00 | (1.97) | 6.68 | |
| NPCPF | Nippon Paint Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GNENF | Ganfeng Lithium Co | 0.13 | 4 per month | 3.87 | 0.15 | 8.41 | (6.35) | 23.83 | |
| LUGDF | Lundin Gold | 0.06 | 9 per month | 3.73 | 0.04 | 5.97 | (4.48) | 21.93 | |
| YARIY | Yara International ASA | 0.13 | 4 per month | 1.48 | 0.07 | 2.27 | (2.48) | 7.61 | |
| TYNPF | Nippon Sanso Holdings | 0.06 | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.66 | (6.82) | 19.68 | |
| JHIUF | James Hardie Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.58 | 0.00 | 24.61 | |
| SYIEF | Symrise AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.50 | (0.03) | 4.68 | (4.07) | 12.81 | |
| SYIEY | Symrise Ag PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.11 | (2.30) | 7.30 | |
| COVTY | Covestro ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | (0.06) | 2.06 | (2.25) | 7.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for EMS CHEMIE
For every potential investor in EMS, whether a beginner or expert, EMS CHEMIE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EMS Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EMS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EMS CHEMIE's price trends.EMS CHEMIE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EMS CHEMIE pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EMS CHEMIE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EMS CHEMIE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EMS CHEMIE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EMS CHEMIE pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EMS CHEMIE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EMS CHEMIE pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify EMS CHEMIE HOLDING AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 772.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 772.34 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 34.75 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 69.5 |
EMS CHEMIE Risk Indicators
The analysis of EMS CHEMIE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EMS CHEMIE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ems pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2988 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.51 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EMS CHEMIE
The number of cover stories for EMS CHEMIE depends on current market conditions and EMS CHEMIE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EMS CHEMIE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EMS CHEMIE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EMS CHEMIE Short Properties
EMS CHEMIE's future price predictability will typically decrease when EMS CHEMIE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EMS CHEMIE HOLDING AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EMS CHEMIE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EMS CHEMIE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 111.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in EMS Pink Sheet
EMS CHEMIE financial ratios help investors to determine whether EMS Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EMS with respect to the benefits of owning EMS CHEMIE security.