Enad Global Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ENADF Stock  USD 1.34  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enad Global 7 on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98. Enad Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enad Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Enad Global simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Enad Global 7 are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Enad Global 7 prices get older.

Enad Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enad Global 7 on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enad Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enad Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enad Global Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Enad Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enad Global's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enad Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.37, respectively. We have considered Enad Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.34
1.34
Expected Value
5.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enad Global pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enad Global pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.0103
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.004
MADMean absolute deviation0.0163
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0104
SAESum of the absolute errors0.98
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Enad Global 7 forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Enad Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Enad Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enad Global 7. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enad Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.345.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.495.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Enad Global

For every potential investor in Enad, whether a beginner or expert, Enad Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enad Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enad. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enad Global's price trends.

Enad Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enad Global pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enad Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enad Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enad Global 7 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Enad Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Enad Global's current price.

Enad Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enad Global pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enad Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enad Global pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Enad Global 7 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enad Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enad Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enad Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enad pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Enad Pink Sheet

Enad Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enad Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enad with respect to the benefits of owning Enad Global security.