Enaex SA Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ENAEX Stock | CLP 24,141 418.00 1.70% |
Enaex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Enaex SA's share price is above 70 as of today suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Enaex, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Enaex SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enaex SA from the perspective of Enaex SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enaex SA on the next trading day is expected to be 24,170 with a mean absolute deviation of 122.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,230. Enaex SA after-hype prediction price | CLP 24141.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Enaex |
Enaex SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enaex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enaex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enaex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Enaex SA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enaex SA on the next trading day is expected to be 24,170 with a mean absolute deviation of 122.54, mean absolute percentage error of 41,543, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,230.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enaex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enaex SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Enaex SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enaex SA | Enaex SA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Enaex SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Enaex SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enaex SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24,169 and 24,171, respectively. We have considered Enaex SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enaex SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enaex SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -10.5572 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 122.5381 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0053 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7229.7506 |
Predictive Modules for Enaex SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enaex SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enaex SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Enaex SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enaex SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enaex SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enaex SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Enaex SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enaex SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enaex SA's historical news coverage. Enaex SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24,140 and 24,142, respectively. We have considered Enaex SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Enaex SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enaex SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Enaex SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enaex SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enaex SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enaex SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24,141 | 24,141 | 0.00 |
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Enaex SA Hype Timeline
Enaex SA is currently traded for 24,141on Chilean Stock Exchange of Chile. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Enaex is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Enaex SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24,141. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Enaex SA recorded earning per share (EPS) of 1009.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2022. The firm had 1393:1308 split on the 28th of September 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enaex SA to cross-verify your projections.Enaex SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enaex SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enaex SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Enaex SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enaex SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCI | Banco de Credito | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.34 | 2.70 | (2.13) | 7.12 | |
| MULTIX | Multiexport Foods SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 3.39 | (1.15) | 9.49 | |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.29 | 2.71 | (1.96) | 9.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enaex SA
For every potential investor in Enaex, whether a beginner or expert, Enaex SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enaex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enaex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enaex SA's price trends.Enaex SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enaex SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enaex SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enaex SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enaex SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enaex SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enaex SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enaex SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enaex SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4.0E-4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (46.44) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24136.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24138.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 9.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (204.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (418.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 73.45 |
Enaex SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Enaex SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enaex SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enaex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.594 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9124 | |||
| Variance | 0.8324 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Enaex SA
The number of cover stories for Enaex SA depends on current market conditions and Enaex SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enaex SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enaex SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Enaex Stock Analysis
When running Enaex SA's price analysis, check to measure Enaex SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enaex SA is operating at the current time. Most of Enaex SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enaex SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enaex SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enaex SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.