Enbridge Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ENB Stock  USD 45.29  0.06  0.13%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enbridge on the next trading day is expected to be 45.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.54. Enbridge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Enbridge stock prices and determine the direction of Enbridge's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enbridge's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Enbridge's share price is approaching 38 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Enbridge, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Enbridge's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Enbridge, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Enbridge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enbridge from the perspective of Enbridge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enbridge on the next trading day is expected to be 45.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.54.

Enbridge after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 45.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enbridge to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Enbridge Stock refer to our How to Trade Enbridge Stock guide.

Enbridge Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Enbridge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enbridge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enbridge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Enbridge simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Enbridge are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Enbridge prices get older.

Enbridge Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enbridge on the next trading day is expected to be 45.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enbridge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enbridge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Enbridge Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest EnbridgeEnbridge Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Enbridge Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Enbridge's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enbridge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.38 and 46.20, respectively. We have considered Enbridge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.29
45.29
Expected Value
46.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enbridge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enbridge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.6112
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0297
MADMean absolute deviation0.3423
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors20.54
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Enbridge forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Enbridge observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Enbridge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enbridge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.3845.2946.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.0342.9449.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.5247.1948.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Enbridge

For every potential investor in Enbridge, whether a beginner or expert, Enbridge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enbridge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enbridge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enbridge's price trends.

Enbridge Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enbridge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enbridge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enbridge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Enbridge Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Enbridge's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Enbridge's current price.

Enbridge Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enbridge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enbridge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enbridge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enbridge entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Enbridge Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enbridge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enbridge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enbridge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Enbridge offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Enbridge's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Enbridge Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Enbridge Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enbridge to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Enbridge Stock refer to our How to Trade Enbridge Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enbridge. If investors know Enbridge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enbridge listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Enbridge is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enbridge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enbridge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enbridge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enbridge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enbridge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enbridge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enbridge is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enbridge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.